{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JLLMS4VQY6",
  "slug": "kxdemsenateprimarycombo-26nov03",
  "question": "Will there be a Democratic Senate primary contest in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "democratic-primaries",
    "senate-elections-2026",
    "electoral-combo",
    "multi-candidate-outcome",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether at least five of six specified Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries in Texas and Illinois. A single Kalshi binary market prices the combo outcome, requiring five or more wins across the six named contests. Resolution rests on Kalshi staff determination of official 2026 primary results. No corroborating Polymarket structure exists for cross-platform comparison on this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G8DMJD8Y08",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.035,
    "implied_probability": 0.035
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G8DMJD8Y08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-JLLMS4VQY6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXDEMSENATEPRIMARYCOMBO-26NOV03",
      "question": "Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of 2026 Democratic Senate primary results for the six specified candidates in Texas, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market does NOT require all specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. Instead, it requires a specified subset of outcomes to occur for a Yes resolution. If the specified condition is not met, the entire market resolves to No.\n\n\n This market uses SENATEPARTYNOM to determine primary winners and is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Source Agencies are",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.035,
      "implied_probability": 0.035,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4614.6275000000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democratic senate primary",
        "illinois",
        "iowa",
        "maine",
        "michigan",
        "minnesota",
        "primary",
        "senate",
        "texas",
        "us-politics"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JLLMS4VQY6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}