{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-55NYBQC068",
  "slug": "kxdemswingstategovsweep-26nov03",
  "question": "Will Democrats win all swing state gubernatorial races by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "swing-state-elections",
    "democratic-performance",
    "2027-governors",
    "multi-outcome-conjunction",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Democrats win all six swing-state gubernatorial races in the 2026 election cycle. The single Kalshi contract requires a clean sweep across Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination of Democratic wins in each named state. The conjunction structure means any single Republican win collapses the contract to zero.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KGC2KQPKC2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KGC2KQPKC2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-55NYBQC068",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXDEMSWINGSTATEGOVSWEEP-26NOV03",
      "question": "Will Democrats win the governorships of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of Democratic wins in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada gubernatorial elections held on November 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails.\n\n\n This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bloomberg",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division",
            "url": "https://dppa.un.org/en/electoral-assistance-division",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the official election authority conducting election",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6842.504999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "democratic sweep pennsylvania",
        "democrats",
        "georgia",
        "governors",
        "michigan",
        "nevada",
        "pennsylvania",
        "swing states",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-55NYBQC068",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}