{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P95C3C1H51",
  "slug": "kxdjtattackwarsh-27",
  "question": "Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-criticism",
    "kevin-warsh",
    "public-statements",
    "politics-2026",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether Donald Trump will publicly criticize Kevin Warsh on monitored social and official channels. Both markets are Kalshi binary contracts; they differ by time horizon, not structure. The shorter contract closes July 2026, the longer extends through January 2027. Kalshi staff determination draws from Trump's Truth Social, X, and official channel statements.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HC7GPZDCY0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.55,
    "implied_probability": 0.55
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VT13MBNPZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P95C3C1H51",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXDJTATTACKWARSH-27-JUL",
      "question": "Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jul 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jul 2026: The referenced candidate's public statements on Truth Social, X, or official campaign channels through January 8, 2027, 3 PM ET, determines resolution per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"publicly criticize\" means Donald Trump must:\n\nMake a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh\nThe criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner\nThe statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context\n\nCriticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Donald Trump",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.donaldjtrump.com",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Donald Trump",
            "url": "https://www.donaldjtrump.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the White House",
            "url": "https://www.whitehouse.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 948.9764,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HC7GPZDCY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P95C3C1H51",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXDJTATTACKWARSH-27-JAN",
      "question": "Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027?",
      "description": "Before Jan 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jan 2027: The referenced candidate's public statements on Truth Social, X, or official campaign channels through January 8, 2027, 3 PM ET, determines resolution per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor purposes of this Contract, \"publicly criticize\" means Donald Trump must:\n\nMake a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh\nThe criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner\nThe statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context\n\nCriticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Donald Trump",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.donaldjtrump.com",
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            "name": "CBS",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-P95C3C1H51",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}