{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
  "slug": "kxebolacountry-27",
  "question": "Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ebola-outbreak",
    "disease-reporting",
    "global-health",
    "infectious-disease",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track confirmed human Ebola cases by country through January 1, 2027. Each contract is independent, covering 16 geographies from endemic Central African states to non-endemic nations like the United States and Canada. All 16 resolve via Kalshi staff determination against confirmed case reports from national or international health authorities. The WHO serves as the primary authoritative source for cross-border outbreak verification.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-D6FC9R49K4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.23,
    "implied_probability": 0.23,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-14D9RS2HB0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-USA",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "United States",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "United States: A confirmed human case in the named geography reported by relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies resolves YES; absence of such confirmation by January 1, 2027, 3 PM UTC resolves NO.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CDC",
            "url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the World Health Organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CDC",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12085.4156,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-005B73A260",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "ebola case united",
        "united states"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-14YBTS05R1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-CHI",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "China",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "China: A confirmed human case in the named geography reported by relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies resolves YES; absence of such confirmation by January 1, 2027, 3 PM UTC resolves NO.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in China is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in China — a citizen of China diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within China do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CDC",
            "url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the World Health Organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CDC",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.0618,
      "volume_total_usd": 727.284,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-55376021C9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "ebola case china"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VWBL82BP46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-IND",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "India",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "India: A confirmed human case in the named geography reported by relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies resolves YES; absence of such confirmation by January 1, 2027, 3 PM UTC resolves NO.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in India is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in India — a citizen of India diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within India do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CDC",
            "url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the World Health Organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CDC",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2743.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-0EF58B14CF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "ebola case india",
        "india"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L9FM2J7W34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-SUD",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "South Sudan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "South Sudan: A confirmed human case in the named geography reported by relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies resolves YES; absence of such confirmation by January 1, 2027, 3 PM UTC resolves NO.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in South Sudan — a citizen of South Sudan diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within South Sudan do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CDC",
            "url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the World Health Organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CDC",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19073.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BC36DC5307",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "ebola case south",
        "south sudan"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKNH4FFH39",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-KEN",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Kenya",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya: A confirmed human case in the named geography reported by relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies resolves YES; absence of such confirmation by January 1, 2027, 3 PM UTC resolves NO.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Kenya is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Kenya — a citizen of Kenya diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Kenya do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CDC",
            "url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the World Health Organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CDC",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.7536,
      "volume_total_usd": 4754.8848,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-560676E803",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "ebola case kenya",
        "kenya"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9C6LTH1YL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DN28WM8N95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-RWA",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Rwanda",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rwanda: A confirmed human case in the named geography reported by relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies resolves YES; absence of such confirmation by January 1, 2027, 3 PM UTC resolves NO.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Rwanda — a citizen of Rwanda diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Rwanda do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CDC",
            "url": "https://www.cdc.gov/index.html",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the World Health Organization",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CDC",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.1552,
      "volume_total_usd": 10782.1536,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8DFC0E9144",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "ebola case rwanda",
        "rwanda"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Angola be reported before Jan 1, 2027?",
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