{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
  "slug": "kxebolacountry-jul26",
  "question": "Will at least one country report an Ebola disease case before July?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "ebola-outbreak",
    "disease-epidemiology",
    "multiple-country-resolution",
    "public-health-reporting",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These 16 Kalshi markets each price the binary probability of a confirmed human Ebola case being reported in a specific country before July 1, 2026. The country set spans endemic-risk African neighbors, regional exporters like Nigeria, and distant importation-risk jurisdictions including the United States, Canada, China, and India. All 16 resolve via Kalshi staff determination, referencing WHO or relevant national ministry confirmation. A notable data caveat: each market's authoritative source field references Kenya's Ministry of Health specifically, which may create ambiguity for non-Kenya country determinations.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1NKH17G4D1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q8KLQS0708",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-USA",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "United States",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in United States is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in United States — a citizen of United States diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within United States do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 206.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 954.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-83E30D6EEE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "occurrence",
        "united states"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TJYXS71549",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-CHI",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in China be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "China",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in China is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in China — a citizen of China diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within China do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 83.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6EE03CB42D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "china",
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "occurrence"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S18J5TQ4T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-IND",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in India be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "India",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in India is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in India — a citizen of India diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within India do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 975.38,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-13E302831C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "india",
        "occurrence"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1P8DMLLP20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-SUD",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "South Sudan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in South Sudan — a citizen of South Sudan diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within South Sudan do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.88,
      "volume_total_usd": 718.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-305C399B32",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "occurrence",
        "south sudan"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1NKH17G4D1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-KEN",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Kenya be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Kenya",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Kenya is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Kenya — a citizen of Kenya diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Kenya do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 197.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 1047.57,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-E2DAAAAF4F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "kenya",
        "occurrence"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PY1660Y642",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-RWA",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Rwanda",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Rwanda is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Rwanda — a citizen of Rwanda diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Rwanda do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 120.57,
      "volume_total_usd": 732.99,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-8BC51275E8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "occurrence",
        "rwanda"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C42YKRTKX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-BUR",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Burundi be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Burundi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Burundi is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Burundi — a citizen of Burundi diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Burundi do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23,
      "volume_total_usd": 90.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-43E83BC01F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "burundi",
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "occurrence"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KKHJWWNBK6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-RCON",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Republic of the Congo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Republic of the Congo — a citizen of Republic of the Congo diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Republic of the Congo do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 44,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 183.32,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F973D8EE14",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "country",
        "disease",
        "ebola",
        "occurrence",
        "republic congo"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7YX375VJ89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-L3YGD5GZW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEBOLACOUNTRY-JUL26-CANA",
      "question": "Will a human case of Ebola disease in Canada be reported before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Canada",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kenya's Ministry of Health or the World Health Organization announces a confirmed human Ebola case in Kenya before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Canada is officially reported before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOnly confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Canada — a citizen of Canada diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Canada do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jul 1, 2026 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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