{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2HHFZDLC17",
  "slug": "kxeconstatcorecpiyoy-26jul",
  "question": "Will core CPI year-over-year be below 3% in July 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "cpi-core",
    "us-inflation",
    "economic-indicator",
    "2026",
    "monthly-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics core CPI year-over-year print for July 2026. Kalshi structures the event as discrete strike contracts, each pricing probability at an exact tenth-of-a-percent level from 2.2% to 3.7%. The implied probability distribution across strikes reveals where consensus mass sits within that range. Resolution occurs via Kalshi staff determination against the BLS release scheduled around August 12, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-X2R3ZHK8M5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.18,
    "implied_probability": 0.18
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3C54NH8PK4",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26JUL-T2.2",
      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.2%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.2%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.2% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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      "last_price": 0.06,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 12,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26JUL-T2.3",
      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.3%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.3%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.3% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26JUL-T2.4",
      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.4%",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.4%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.4% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "last_price": 0.36,
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      "question_id": "CMX-98FC369534",
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    {
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26JUL-T2.5",
      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.5%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.5% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
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        "us",
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DQ5QZNNG72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2HHFZDLC17",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26JUL-T2.6",
      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.6%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.6%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If the CPI core year-over-year is exactly 2.6% in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXECONSTATCORECPIYOY-26JUL-T2.7",
      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.7%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.7%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T12:29:00Z",
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      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.8%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.8%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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      "question": "CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?",
      "description": "Exactly 2.9%",
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      "underlying_reference": "Exactly 2.9%: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish core Consumer Price Index year-over-year data for July 2026 on the Employment Situation release by August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.",
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