{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8CYMWNWC6",
  "slug": "kxelectionbill",
  "question": "Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-voter-registration",
    "citizenship-requirements",
    "federal-legislation",
    "election-policy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Congress will enact a proof-of-citizenship requirement for federal voter registration. All five contracts are Kalshi binary markets, resolved by Kalshi staff determination, structured as sequential deadline tiers: May 1, June 1, July 1, August 1, and January 1, 2027. Each later contract prices cumulative probability across a longer legislative window, so the spread between tiers reflects implied hazard rate of passage in each interval. The authoritative resolution source is enacted federal legislation, not executive action.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-S2VZYNDVP0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.14
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "question": "Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before May 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before May 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before May 1, 2026: Legislation requiring proof of U.S. citizenship for federal election voter registration becomes law if signed by the President and recorded on whitehouse.gov before January 1, 2027, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "White House",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "question": "Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: Legislation requiring proof of U.S. citizenship for federal election voter registration becomes law if signed by the President and recorded on whitehouse.gov before January 1, 2027, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.",
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      "question": "Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Jul 1, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5ZZ2DHYB92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8CYMWNWC6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXELECTIONBILL-AUG01",
      "question": "Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 1, 2026: Legislation requiring proof of U.S. citizenship for federal election voter registration becomes law if signed by the President and recorded on whitehouse.gov before January 1, 2027, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.",
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      "tags": [
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      "question": "Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
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        "rules_raw": "If legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For \"become law\" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.",
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