{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PM72KQDBC1",
  "slug": "kxeoweek-26aug08",
  "question": "How many Executive Orders will Trump sign during the week of August 2-8?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump-executive-orders",
    "weekly-action-count",
    "us-presidency",
    "policy-implementation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of Executive Orders signed by President Trump during the week of August 2 through August 8, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as three sequential strike thresholds: above 0, above 1, and above 2 signed orders. Reading across strikes reveals an implied probability distribution over the discrete weekly count. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using Federal Register documentation as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZDD4384W33",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZDD4384W33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PM72KQDBC1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26AUG08-0",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0: The Federal Register will document the named executive actions issued during the specified week, with Kalshi staff determination by August 22, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 0 executive orders during Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Register",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2363.11,
      "volume_total_usd": 6729.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders",
        "presidential action",
        "trump",
        "trump executive orders"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q25HDLWD70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PM72KQDBC1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26AUG08-1",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1: The Federal Register will document the named executive actions issued during the specified week, with Kalshi staff determination by August 22, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 1 executive orders during Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Register",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 276.04,
      "volume_total_usd": 448.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders",
        "presidential action",
        "trump",
        "trump executive orders"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3THLV66R02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PM72KQDBC1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26AUG08-2",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Aug 2, 2026 and Aug 8, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2: The Federal Register will document the named executive actions issued during the specified week, with Kalshi staff determination by August 22, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-22T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 2 executive orders during Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 8, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Register",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 54.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 85.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders",
        "presidential action",
        "trump",
        "trump executive orders"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PM72KQDBC1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}