{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C9BMV81ZH9",
  "slug": "kxeoweek-26jul25",
  "question": "How many Executive Orders will Trump sign during the week of July 19-25?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "executive-orders",
    "trump-presidency",
    "weekly-politics",
    "us-government",
    "presidential-actions"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of Executive Orders signed by President Trump during the week of July 19 through July 25, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as three ascending strike thresholds: above 0, above 1, and above 2 orders. Each tier prices a discrete binary outcome, together forming an implied distribution over weekly signing volume. The Federal Register's executive orders database is the authoritative source, with Kalshi staff determining resolution on August 8, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-F8Q5P91R24",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8Q5P91R24",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C9BMV81ZH9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26JUL25-0",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Jul 19, 2026 and Jul 25, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0: The Federal Register's executive orders database, checked by Kalshi staff on August 8, 2026, determines whether the named official signed any executive orders during the specified week.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-23T15:00:24Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 0 executive orders during Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Register",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10840.93,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders",
        "presidential actions",
        "trump",
        "trump executive orders"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZB4L6S8R5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C9BMV81ZH9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26JUL25-1",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Jul 19, 2026 and Jul 25, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1: The Federal Register's executive orders database, checked by Kalshi staff on August 8, 2026, determines whether the named official signed any executive orders during the specified week.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 1 executive orders during Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Register",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 160.0434,
      "volume_total_usd": 7327.9205999999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders",
        "presidential actions",
        "trump",
        "trump executive orders"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H4NJLM7Z98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C9BMV81ZH9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26JUL25-2",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Jul 19, 2026 and Jul 25, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2: The Federal Register's executive orders database, checked by Kalshi staff on August 8, 2026, determines whether the named official signed any executive orders during the specified week.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 2 executive orders during Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Federal Register",
            "url": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "Federal Register",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23.9796,
      "volume_total_usd": 192.1689,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders",
        "presidential actions",
        "trump",
        "trump executive orders"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8Q5P91R24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-23T15:30:26.05528Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C9BMV81ZH9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}