{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-4T7NF3RGH4",
  "slug": "kxeoweek-26jun06",
  "question": "Will Trump sign more than X executive orders between May 31 and June 6?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "executive-orders",
    "trump-administration",
    "presidential-action",
    "weekly-snapshot",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the count of Executive Orders signed by the President during the week of May 31 through June 6, 2026. All three are Kalshi binary contracts structured as ascending strike thresholds: more than 0, more than 1, and more than 2 orders signed. Together they imply a probability distribution over discrete weekly EO volume. Kalshi staff determination uses the Federal Register's published Executive Orders page as the authoritative count source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JG2S1SWTS7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JG2S1SWTS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4T7NF3RGH4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26JUN06-0",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between May 31, 2026 and Jun 6, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Register's published Executive Orders page determines the count of Executive Orders signed between May 31, 2026 and June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 0 executive orders during May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8579.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 16338.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders signed",
        "executive-order",
        "presidential-action",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XL838SW871",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4T7NF3RGH4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26JUN06-1",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between May 31, 2026 and Jun 6, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Register's published Executive Orders page determines the count of Executive Orders signed between May 31, 2026 and June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 1 executive orders during May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5180.63,
      "volume_total_usd": 9521.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders signed",
        "executive-order",
        "presidential-action",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XFK8GDDD28",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-4T7NF3RGH4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXEOWEEK-26JUN06-2",
      "question": "Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between May 31, 2026 and Jun 6, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Register's published Executive Orders page determines the count of Executive Orders signed between May 31, 2026 and June 6, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the President signs above 2 executive orders during May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn \"Executive Order\" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled \"Executive Order\" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law. All documents officially designated as \"Executive Orders\" with sequential numbering count, including Executive Orders that are later revoked or amended. \n\nThe signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. If, for example, the period was \"Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025,\" and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. The latest Expiration Date of the Contract shall be two weeks after the end of the period. If an Executive Order that is dated past May 31, 2026 to Jun 6, 2026 is posted to the Federal Register, expiration may be moved to an earlier date.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Federal Register",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.federalregister.gov/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1973.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 3620.82,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "executive orders signed",
        "executive-order",
        "presidential-action",
        "trump"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JG2S1SWTS7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XL838SW871",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XFK8GDDD28",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T17:18:35Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-4T7NF3RGH4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}