{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
  "slug": "kxethmaxmon-eth-26aug31",
  "question": "ETH trimmed mean price, August 31, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      2000,
      2250
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 2000,
        "prob": 56
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2250,
        "prob": 15
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2500,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2750,
        "prob": 2
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3250,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3500,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3750,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum-price",
    "crypto-volatility",
    "august-2026",
    "price-ceiling",
    "spot-market"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track ETH's CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026. Eight binary strikes span $2,000 to $3,750, each asking whether ETH closes above a discrete threshold. Implied probabilities across the strike ladder reconstruct a market-consensus price distribution. Kalshi staff determination draws on CF Benchmarks as the authoritative price source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-13PK2B5V27",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.15,
    "implied_probability": 0.15
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZWYMCP2YL6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-200000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2,000.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n2000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.56,
      "implied_probability": 0.56,
      "volume_24h_usd": 428.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 11795.72,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DBFE3A245A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13PK2B5V27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-225000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2,250.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2,250.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n2250.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 179.59,
      "volume_total_usd": 1345.58,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2250,
      "question_id": "CMX-7A32DB188A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YRR7T9WPS8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-250000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2,500.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n2500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 64.52,
      "volume_total_usd": 280.6,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2500,
      "question_id": "CMX-F51C7CC6C3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G85WRJ4SR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-275000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2,750.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2,750.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n2750.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 34.16,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2750,
      "question_id": "CMX-611BE3322D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT1BM72TK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-300000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3,000.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n3000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.32,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FB9C3C90AA",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-XCP9LN4764",
          "price": 0.004
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DL3H65XSL9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-325000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3,250.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3,250.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n3250.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.06,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3250,
      "question_id": "CMX-08FCEE0F60",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PVT3BS4058",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-350000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3,500.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n3500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.06,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3500,
      "question_id": "CMX-AEE31964D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august-2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YYP3PV7Y05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XM950S28R8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26AUG31-375000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3,750.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3,750.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as reported by Kalshi staff determination by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Aug 31, 2026 is ever above $\n3750.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
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}