{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
  "slug": "kxethmaxy-27jan01",
  "question": "Ethereum maximum price, January 1, 2027",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      3500
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 3500,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3750,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4250,
        "prob": 10
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4500,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4750,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6000,
        "prob": 5
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum-price",
    "crypto-markets",
    "2027-resolution",
    "price-prediction",
    "blockchain-assets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ethereum's spot price clears discrete strike thresholds by January 1, 2027. Kalshi structures the event as eight binary strikes from $3,500 to $6,000, each independently resolvable. The implied probability curve across strikes functions like a digital options ladder on ETH price level. CF Benchmarks' published price at 12:00 AM UTC on January 1, 2027 is the authoritative fixing, determined via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1R1BD2D6B7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.14,
    "implied_probability": 0.14
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1R1BD2D6B7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3500.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $3,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3,500.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 171.5294,
      "volume_total_usd": 54061.20020000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3500,
      "question_id": "CMX-CCF9E60B76",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-165VY8XDS9",
          "price": 0.12
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q3818GW7P1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-3750.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $3,750.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3,750.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 107.1912,
      "volume_total_usd": 18628.144800000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3750,
      "question_id": "CMX-17FA8F0277",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P3HSL8JDQ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $4,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4,000.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 20345.601599999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F2212DD3BE",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFZ8PM0J25",
          "price": 0.09
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQRMMBF1P3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4250.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $4250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $4,250.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4,250.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4250.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10022.3904,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4250,
      "question_id": "CMX-4253E417B2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QSKK752Q7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4500.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $4,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4,500.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.8640000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 18707.2248,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4500,
      "question_id": "CMX-10E7BEEE90",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT8H8D4K32",
          "price": 0.09
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JX2PQV0N72",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4750.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $4750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $4,750.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4,750.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 120,
      "volume_total_usd": 15013.3614,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4750,
      "question_id": "CMX-C90C3D7484",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GRQSB29VK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-5000.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $5000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $5,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5,000.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 5000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 194.50300000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 15606.7615,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A8CE693409",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-3Y14DWKYM1",
          "price": 0.08
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PTVG1WG031",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-6000.00",
      "question": "Will Ethereum reach above $6000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "description": "Above $6,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6,000.00: CF Benchmarks' published price on January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC determines whether the referenced cryptocurrency closes above the specified threshold, resolved by Kalshi staff by January 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 6000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.66,
      "volume_total_usd": 17596.582,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6000,
      "question_id": "CMX-0B1A64D076",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-B6C58S4ZD0",
          "price": 0.06
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "crypto",
        "eth-usd",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_enumerated_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G2G3Y09R59",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}