{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
  "slug": "kxethminmon-eth-26jun30",
  "question": "ETH trimmed mean price, June 30, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "below",
    "implied_band": [
      250,
      null
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 250,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 500,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 750,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1250,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum-price",
    "crypto-futures",
    "june-2026",
    "price-floor",
    "technical-analysis"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track ETH's CF Benchmarks trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026. Each Kalshi binary asks whether ETH closes below a discrete strike: $1,500, $1,250, $1,000, $750, $500, or $250. The six strikes form a downside probability curve; implied probabilities should decline monotonically at lower strikes. Kalshi staff determination references the CF Benchmarks published trimmed mean as the authoritative price source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DLP3WQ28Q5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DX2H0Z009",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26JUN30-150000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be below $1500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $1,500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $1,500.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as published by CF Benchmarks and determined by Kalshi staff, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $1500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 302.45,
      "volume_total_usd": 14124.29,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-CF45029477",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDVHMYQFY6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26JUN30-125000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be below $1250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $1,250.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $1,250.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as published by CF Benchmarks and determined by Kalshi staff, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $1250.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 72.34,
      "volume_total_usd": 1984.27,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1250,
      "question_id": "CMX-DF3B42034F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-140BD5P609",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26JUN30-100000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be below $1000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $1,000.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $1,000.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as published by CF Benchmarks and determined by Kalshi staff, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $1000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 58.67,
      "volume_total_usd": 710.46,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 1000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1F6943188B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SKQ6RVT0G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26JUN30-75000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be below $750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $750.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $750.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as published by CF Benchmarks and determined by Kalshi staff, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $750.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 35.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 128.91,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 750,
      "question_id": "CMX-4F2DE2ED8A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PS3NHRJ675",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26JUN30-50000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be below $500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $500.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $500.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as published by CF Benchmarks and determined by Kalshi staff, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 32.17,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 500,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D9C128B44",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DLP3WQ28Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXETHMINMON-ETH-26JUN30-25000",
      "question": "Will ETH trimmed mean be below $250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026?",
      "description": "Below $250.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Below $250.00: CF Benchmarks ETH trimmed mean price on June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as published by CF Benchmarks and determined by Kalshi staff, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jun 30, 2026 is ever below $250.00, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "CF Benchmarks",
            "url": "https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CF ETHUSD_RTI",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "CF Benchmarks",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18.59,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 250,
      "question_id": "CMX-455D6A3607",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDVHMYQFY6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.856487Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DLP3WQ28Q5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.855296Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-140BD5P609",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.854837Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PS3NHRJ675",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.848557Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SKQ6RVT0G7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.848489Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DX2H0Z009",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T16:39:00.840595Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-95NQZBLH09",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}