{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
  "slug": "kxfederalcharge-27jan01",
  "question": "Will someone be charged with a federal crime in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "federal-charges",
    "2026-us-politics",
    "criminal-indictment",
    "political-accountability",
    "legal-proceedings"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether named political and public figures face any criminal charge before January 1, 2027. All 40 markets share identical structure: binary yes/no outcomes resolved via Kalshi staff determination using Bloomberg reporting. No cross-platform structural difference exists here; Kalshi prices each individual as a separate binary event. Resolution requires confirmed charges, not indictment referrals or investigative status alone.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6MJ12TF6N8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.16,
    "implied_probability": 0.16,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96D6QX11T0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LJAM",
      "question": "Will Letitia James be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Letitia James",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Letitia James: Kalshi staff determination based on Bloomberg reporting resolves whether the named candidate faces any criminal charges by January 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Letitia James has been formally charged with a federal crime  after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nCharges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.\n\n\nFormal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bloomberg",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NPR",
            "url": "https://www.npr.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 68.2329,
      "volume_total_usd": 10757.271900000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "letitia james",
        "new york",
        "politician"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BSBNNGQF03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-HCLI",
      "question": "Will Hillary Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Hillary Clinton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Hillary Clinton: Kalshi staff determination based on Bloomberg reporting resolves whether the named candidate faces any criminal charges by January 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hillary Clinton has been formally charged with a federal crime  after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nCharges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.\n\n\nFormal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bloomberg",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
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            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NPR",
            "url": "https://www.npr.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.46546,
      "volume_total_usd": 1523.58119,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "former secretary of state",
        "hillary clinton",
        "politician"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YG1KMF97N9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-BCLI",
      "question": "Will Bill Clinton be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Bill Clinton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Clinton: Kalshi staff determination based on Bloomberg reporting resolves whether the named candidate faces any criminal charges by January 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Clinton has been formally charged with a federal crime  after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nCharges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.\n\n\nFormal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bloomberg",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
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            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NPR",
            "url": "https://www.npr.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.027,
      "implied_probability": 0.027,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.40562,
      "volume_total_usd": 1458.73953,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "bill clinton",
        "former president",
        "politician"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X5L4XLXMT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-MKEL",
      "question": "Will Mark Kelly be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Mark Kelly",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Kelly: Kalshi staff determination based on Bloomberg reporting resolves whether the named candidate faces any criminal charges by January 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mark Kelly has been formally charged with a federal crime  after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nCharges filed in military courts are included. The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.\n\n\nFormal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bloomberg",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
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            "name": "NPR",
            "url": "https://www.npr.org",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-25T11:01:09.506Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 999.1278,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "mark kelly",
        "politician",
        "senator"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-10SPHGWBQ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-69K59CM028",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-LCOO",
      "question": "Will Lisa Cook be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "Lisa Cook",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lisa Cook: Kalshi staff determination based on Bloomberg reporting resolves whether the named candidate faces any criminal charges by January 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "question": "Will Joe Kent be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Gustavo Petro be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-ECAR",
      "question": "Will E. Jean Carroll be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-AWEI",
      "question": "Will Andrew Weissmann be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will George Soros be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Cassidy Hutchinson be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Gavin Newsom be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Jennifer Siebel Newsom be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will Raúl Castro be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
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