{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
  "slug": "kxfedgovnom-27",
  "question": "Will someone be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "fed-governor",
    "2026-nominations",
    "us-politics",
    "federal-reserve",
    "appointment-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Trump's next Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination through 2027. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single candidate, creating a mutually exclusive set of binary outcome questions. Together they function as an implied probability distribution across twelve named candidates. Kalshi staff determination relies on Library of Congress nomination records as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9PJZZWHNY7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1D6TZ8G8P5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-KHAS",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Kevin Hassett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kevin Hassett: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kevin Hassett is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.559600000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 2661.0584000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "governor",
        "kevin hassett",
        "nomination"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MFJ5GH9CN2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-CWAL",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Christopher Waller",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christopher Waller: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Christopher Waller is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1331.4198000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NF467LKDR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-JSHE",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Judy Shelton",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Judy Shelton: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Judy Shelton is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.086,
      "implied_probability": 0.086,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5163.16738,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PX3NFXJD34",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-MBOW",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Michelle Bowman as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Michelle Bowman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michelle Bowman: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Michelle Bowman is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.099,
      "implied_probability": 0.099,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 205.28838,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "governor",
        "michelle bowman",
        "nomination"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G72HRHFHP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-RRIE",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Rick Rieder as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Rick Rieder",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rick Rieder: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rick Rieder is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 955.44,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "governor",
        "nomination",
        "rick rieder"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KZ82QWL6L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-SBES",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Scott Bessent as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Scott Bessent",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Bessent: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Scott Bessent is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
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        "scott bessent"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9PJZZWHNY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-SMIR",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Stephen Miran",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Stephen Miran: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Stephen Miran is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.7712,
      "volume_total_usd": 22656.912000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "governor",
        "nomination",
        "stephen miran"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QB10W46N88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-DMAL",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate David Malpass as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "David Malpass",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Malpass: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Malpass is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "fed",
        "governor",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L52H231231",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4V75FRSZ5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDGOVNOM-27-PJEF",
      "question": "Will Trump next nominate Philip Jefferson as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?",
      "description": "Philip Jefferson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Philip Jefferson: The Library of Congress records whether the named candidate receives a Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination, resolving by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Philip Jefferson is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "governor",
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        "philip jefferson"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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