{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-S3FTHFXP80",
  "slug": "kxfedleadjune-26jun17",
  "question": "Who will chair the June FOMC meeting?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "fomc-leadership",
    "federal-reserve-chair",
    "us-monetary-policy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which individual will chair the June 17, 2026 FOMC meeting. Kalshi lists eight named candidates, each structured as a binary contract on a single individual. All eight resolve simultaneously via Kalshi staff determination using the Federal Reserve's official organizational website. The cross-platform insight is absent here: all markets share one platform and one structural format, binary outcome per candidate.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TTZ4WFM9P3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TTZ4WFM9P3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S3FTHFXP80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDLEADJUNE-26JUN17-KWAR",
      "question": "Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?",
      "description": "Kevin Warsh",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kevin Warsh: Kalshi staff determination on June 17, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, using the official organizational website where the position is housed, confirms whether the named individual holds the specified role in any capacity.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kevin Warsh officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, \"officially holds\" means any of the following:\n\n- Kevin Warsh has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Kevin Warsh is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Kevin Warsh is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute \"officially holding\" the role:\n\n- Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective\n- Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026\n- Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026\n- Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity\n- Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed\n- Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official organizational website where role is housed",
            "url": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "or company responsible for role",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USAJobs.gov",
            "url": "http://www.usajobs.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "agency",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Register",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government website",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.98,
      "volume_total_usd": 77795.48,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chair",
        "fed",
        "fomc",
        "kevin warsh"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CT9X9F6XL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S3FTHFXP80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDLEADJUNE-26JUN17-JPOW",
      "question": "Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?",
      "description": "Jerome Powell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jerome Powell: Kalshi staff determination on June 17, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, using the official organizational website where the position is housed, confirms whether the named individual holds the specified role in any capacity.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jerome Powell officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, \"officially holds\" means any of the following:\n\n- Jerome Powell has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Jerome Powell is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Jerome Powell is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute \"officially holding\" the role:\n\n- Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective\n- Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026\n- Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026\n- Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity\n- Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed\n- Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official organizational website where role is housed",
            "url": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "or company responsible for role",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USAJobs.gov",
            "url": "http://www.usajobs.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "agency",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Register",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government website",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 79.88,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chair",
        "fed",
        "fomc",
        "jerome powell"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-497PQ9N1X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S3FTHFXP80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDLEADJUNE-26JUN17-PJEF",
      "question": "Will Philip Jefferson be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?",
      "description": "Philip Jefferson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Philip Jefferson: Kalshi staff determination on June 17, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, using the official organizational website where the position is housed, confirms whether the named individual holds the specified role in any capacity.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Philip Jefferson officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, \"officially holds\" means any of the following:\n\n- Philip Jefferson has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Philip Jefferson is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Philip Jefferson is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute \"officially holding\" the role:\n\n- Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective\n- Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026\n- Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026\n- Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity\n- Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed\n- Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official organizational website where role is housed",
            "url": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "or company responsible for role",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USAJobs.gov",
            "url": "http://www.usajobs.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "agency",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Federal Register",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official government website",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.94,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "chair",
        "fed",
        "fomc",
        "philip jefferson"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G519X74P54",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-S3FTHFXP80",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFEDLEADJUNE-26JUN17-JWIL",
      "question": "Will John Williams be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?",
      "description": "John Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Williams: Kalshi staff determination on June 17, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, using the official organizational website where the position is housed, confirms whether the named individual holds the specified role in any capacity.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-17T13:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Williams officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, \"officially holds\" means any of the following:\n\n- John Williams has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- John Williams is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- John Williams is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute \"officially holding\" the role:\n\n- Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective\n- Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026\n- Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026\n- Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity\n- Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed\n- Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official organizational website where role is housed",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official organizational website where role is housed",
            "url": "http://www.thjodminjasafn.is",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "or company responsible for role",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "USAJobs.gov",
            "url": "http://www.usajobs.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "person",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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      "question": "Will Michelle Bowman be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Michelle Bowman officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, \"officially holds\" means any of the following:\n\n- Michelle Bowman has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Michelle Bowman is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Michelle Bowman is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute \"officially holding\" the role:\n\n- Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective\n- Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026\n- Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026\n- Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity\n- Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed\n- Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself",
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      "question": "Will Stephen Miran be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?",
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      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Stephen Miran officially holds the position of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nFor the purposes of this contract, \"officially holds\" means any of the following:\n\n- Stephen Miran has been formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Stephen Miran is listed in official government directories, organizational charts, or equivalent authoritative sources as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity)\n- Stephen Miran is actively serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) with full authority and responsibilities (not suspended, on leave, or in acting/interim capacity unless explicitly specified)\n\nThe following do **NOT** constitute \"officially holding\" the role:\n\n- Nominated, announced, or designated as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but appointment not yet effective\n- Appointed with an effective date *after* Jun 17, 2026\n- Previously served as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Jun 17, 2026\n- Serving as Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity\n- Named as successor or heir apparent to Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not yet appointed\n- Holding a different role with oversight of Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) but not the specified position itself",
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