{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
  "slug": "kxflprimary-14r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican Party nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district be determined by the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-us-elections",
    "florida-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "house-race",
    "nominee-selection"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary outcome for Florida's 14th Congressional District, resolving November 3, 2026. Kalshi lists ten candidate-specific binary contracts: Kevin Steele, Bea Valenti, Michael Marcel, Amaro Lionheart, Erik Mishiyev, Rocky Rochford, Gavriel Soriano, Dan Weldon, Shay Williams, and Mike Beltran. Each contract is mutually exclusive; at most one resolves YES. Kalshi staff determination references the Republican Party's official nominee announcement for FL-14.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-RC91PYW1G6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.81,
    "implied_probability": 0.81
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RC91PYW1G6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-KSTE",
      "question": "Will Kevin Steele be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Kevin Steele",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kevin Steele: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kevin Steele wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.81,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 67.1247,
      "volume_total_usd": 6792.7167,
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      "tags": [
        "candidate",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WS84RMK620",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-BVAL",
      "question": "Will Bea Valenti be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Bea Valenti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bea Valenti: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Bea Valenti wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M5B1C30XX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-MMAR",
      "question": "Will Michael Marcel be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Michael Marcel",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Marcel: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Michael Marcel wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.03,
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      "volume_total_usd": 196.0866,
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      "tags": [
        "candidate",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-81DVNK9D61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-ALIO",
      "question": "Will Amaro Lionheart be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Amaro Lionheart",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Amaro Lionheart: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amaro Lionheart wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 6.97,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MNBW1YCSW8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-EMIS",
      "question": "Will Erik Mishiyev be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Erik Mishiyev",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Erik Mishiyev: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Erik Mishiyev wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7.69,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V0SH8Y56Y2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-RROC",
      "question": "Will Rocky Rochford be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Rocky Rochford",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rocky Rochford: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rocky Rochford wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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          {
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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      "volume_total_usd": 20.7,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LHYTS5MRN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-GSOR",
      "question": "Will Gavriel Soriano be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Gavriel Soriano",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Gavriel Soriano: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Gavriel Soriano wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 8.02,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DNPD2Q81Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-DWEL",
      "question": "Will Dan Weldon be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Dan Weldon",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Weldon: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dan Weldon wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGHH1JC515",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-SWIL",
      "question": "Will Shay Williams be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Shay Williams",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Shay Williams: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Shay Williams wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "volume_total_usd": 7.44,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VF6MDT2NC4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-14R26-MBEL",
      "question": "Will Mike Beltran be the Republican nominee for FL-14?",
      "description": "Mike Beltran",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Beltran: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the referenced congressional district, determined by Kalshi staff review of party records by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Beltran wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-14 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.17,
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6M3MW4P6S9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}