{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
  "slug": "kxflprimary-16r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Florida's 16th congressional district be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "republican-nominee",
    "us-house",
    "electoral-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary outcome for Florida's 16th congressional district, resolving November 3, 2026. Kalshi lists fourteen named candidates as discrete binary contracts. Each contract resolves YES if that candidate wins the Republican nomination, per Kalshi staff determination. Only one contract can resolve YES; the rest resolve NO.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-80CXTY03F7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.9,
    "implied_probability": 0.9
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-80CXTY03F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-SGRU",
      "question": "Will Sydney Gruters be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Sydney Gruters",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sydney Gruters: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Sydney Gruters wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 16170.993,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "fl-16",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q97VLWP0K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-JPET",
      "question": "Will John Peters be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "John Peters",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Peters: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If John Peters wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B5T5G19DS5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-EPOP",
      "question": "Will Ed Pope be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Ed Pope",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ed Pope: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Ed Pope wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z2R0VLMM07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-ESPE",
      "question": "Will Eddie Speir be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Eddie Speir",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eddie Speir: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eddie Speir wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.02,
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      "tags": [
        "eddie speir",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F9Y9HBB6F4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-CBER",
      "question": "Will Carlos Beruff be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Carlos Beruff",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Carlos Beruff: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Carlos Beruff wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TLXCRFD5F8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-RCOR",
      "question": "Will Richard Corcoran be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Richard Corcoran",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Richard Corcoran: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Richard Corcoran wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-09QQLSNGQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-BGAL",
      "question": "Will Bill Galvano be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Bill Galvano",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Galvano: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Bill Galvano wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WT93JMLK26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-TGRE",
      "question": "Will Tommy Gregory be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Tommy Gregory",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tommy Gregory: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tommy Gregory wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-605YRGDXC8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-N3YVPG9KC0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-16R26-MHYD",
      "question": "Will Martin Hyde be the Republican nominee for FL-16?",
      "description": "Martin Hyde",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Martin Hyde: The Republican Party's official nominee for the referenced congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination on or before November 3, 2026.",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Martin Hyde wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-16 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "tags": [
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