{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
  "slug": "kxflprimary-20d26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Florida's 20th congressional district be determined by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "us-house-elections",
    "2027-election",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic primary nomination for Florida's 20th Congressional District, resolving November 3, 2026. Kalshi lists seven named candidates: Campbell, Cherfilus-McCormick, Holness, Douglas, Moise, Manley, and Wasserman Schultz. Each contract is a binary on one candidate winning the nomination. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination across all seven markets.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-64FJMGRHX8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.78
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W0FT912LC6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-LCAM",
      "question": "Will Luther Campbell be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Luther Campbell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Luther Campbell: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Luther Campbell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "luther campbell",
        "nominee"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C0D6R4L1P6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-SMCC",
      "question": "Will Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "sheila cherfilus mccormick"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LS470YF7D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-DHOL",
      "question": "Will Dale Holness be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Dale Holness",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dale Holness: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dale Holness wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 58.5888,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "dale holness",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QNRF9006F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-MDOU",
      "question": "Will Mark Douglas be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Mark Douglas",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mark Douglas: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Mark Douglas wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 6.38,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R063F7RXC4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-RMOI",
      "question": "Will Rudolph Moise be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Rudolph Moise",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rudolph Moise: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rudolph Moise wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-60RZWH8166",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-EMAN",
      "question": "Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Elijah Manley",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Elijah Manley: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Elijah Manley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.23,
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-20D26-DSCH",
      "question": "Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?",
      "description": "Debbie Wasserman Schultz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Debbie Wasserman Schultz: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the listed party's nomination for the referenced congressional seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 FL-20 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3RP9W40FD2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}