{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
  "slug": "kxflprimary-22r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Florida's 22nd congressional district be determined by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "congressional-race",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary outcome for Florida's 22nd Congressional District. Kalshi lists 16 candidate-specific binary contracts, each resolved by Kalshi staff determination against the Republican Party's official nominee designation. The markets resolve November 3, 2026, aligned with post-primary certification. Resolution hinges on the official Republican Party nominee designation, not vote totals alone.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6XVB432R57",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.48,
    "implied_probability": 0.48,
    "as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LKV3JL5PJ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-SAVI",
      "question": "Will Steve Avila be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Steve Avila",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Avila: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Avila wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.240000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
        "fl-22",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "steve avila"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DKVH48NCM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-DBUR",
      "question": "Will David Burck be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "David Burck",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Burck: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Burck wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1218.2800000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 17970.372000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "david burck",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6XVB432R57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-MCAR",
      "question": "Will Michael Carbonara be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Michael Carbonara",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Michael Carbonara: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Michael Carbonara wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 2188.9584,
      "volume_total_usd": 50178.753600000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "fl-22",
        "michael carbonara",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S0R67WKD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-LJON",
      "question": "Will Lateresa Jones be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Lateresa Jones",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lateresa Jones: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Lateresa Jones wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
        "fl-22",
        "lateresa jones",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXMH4M5JP9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-HWER",
      "question": "Will Herbie Wertheim be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Herbie Wertheim",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Herbie Wertheim: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Herbie Wertheim wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "fl-22",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "permitted_category": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VJ3P86WSY0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-DADE",
      "question": "Will Deborah Adeimy be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Deborah Adeimy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Deborah Adeimy: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Deborah Adeimy wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.11,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "deborah adeimy",
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        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6XDMF3HXG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-PBRA",
      "question": "Will Paola Branda be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Paola Branda",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Paola Branda: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Paola Branda wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18.11,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-22",
        "nominee",
        "paola branda",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BHM2PG38T7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-AMED",
      "question": "Will Anna Medvedeva be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Anna Medvedeva",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Anna Medvedeva: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anna Medvedeva wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_total_usd": 20.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
        "anna medvedeva",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-34961R3JL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTQ9V1FDP4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-22R26-ASRA",
      "question": "Will Antonio Srado be the Republican nominee for FL-22?",
      "description": "Antonio Srado",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Antonio Srado: The Republican Party's official designation of its nominee for the referenced congressional district, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by November 3, 2026, resolves this market.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Antonio Srado wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-22 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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