{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
  "slug": "kxflprimary-25r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Florida's 25th congressional district be determined by the 2026 general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "republican-nominee",
    "us-house",
    "primary-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary nominee for Florida's 25th congressional district. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single candidate: Dan Franzese, George Moraitis, Scott Singer, Claudia Villatoro, or Joe Kaufman. The five contracts are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves YES. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination against official Republican Party nominee designation, with a resolve deadline of November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V9FJHX7KV7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.55,
    "implied_probability": 0.55
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TL1J2VQJT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-25R26-DFRA",
      "question": "Will Dan Franzese be the Republican nominee for FL-25?",
      "description": "Dan Franzese",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Franzese: Republican Party official nominee designation for the Florida congressional district seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dan Franzese wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-25 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 298.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dan franzese",
        "fl-25",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PWH2YW5ZN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-25R26-GMOR",
      "question": "Will George Moraitis be the Republican nominee for FL-25?",
      "description": "George Moraitis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "George Moraitis: Republican Party official nominee designation for the Florida congressional district seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If George Moraitis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-25 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.13,
      "volume_total_usd": 736.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-25",
        "george moraitis",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V9FJHX7KV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-25R26-SSIN",
      "question": "Will Scott Singer be the Republican nominee for FL-25?",
      "description": "Scott Singer",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Singer: Republican Party official nominee designation for the Florida congressional district seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Scott Singer wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-25 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.55,
      "implied_probability": 0.55,
      "volume_24h_usd": 46.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 7180.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-25",
        "nominee",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W5N84P0T44",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-25R26-CVIL",
      "question": "Will Claudia Villatoro be the Republican nominee for FL-25?",
      "description": "Claudia Villatoro",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Claudia Villatoro: Republican Party official nominee designation for the Florida congressional district seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Claudia Villatoro wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-25 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 77.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "claudia villatoro",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M97SYBDDF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-25R26-JKAU",
      "question": "Will Joe Kaufman be the Republican nominee for FL-25?",
      "description": "Joe Kaufman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joe Kaufman: Republican Party official nominee designation for the Florida congressional district seat resolves by Kalshi staff determination on November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Joe Kaufman wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-25 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.62,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-25",
        "joe kaufman",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-6N45WQY7V6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}