{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CBN1P30882",
  "slug": "kxflprimary-27r26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district be determined by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "republican-primary",
    "2027-election",
    "house-race",
    "candidate-nomination"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee contest for Florida's 27th Congressional District. One contract prices the nomination probability for Maria Elvira Salazar; the other prices it for Vincent Michael Arias. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination of official party nominee designation. Resolution is set for November 3, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-14PZ5MHHC1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.98,
    "implied_probability": 0.98
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-14PZ5MHHC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CBN1P30882",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-27R26-MSAL",
      "question": "Will Maria Elvira Salazar be the Republican nominee for FL-27?",
      "description": "Maria Elvira Salazar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Maria Elvira Salazar: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is designated the Republican Party nominee for the referenced seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Maria Elvira Salazar wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-27 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9773.589,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "nominee",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DMDN7XKW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CBN1P30882",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFLPRIMARY-27R26-VARI",
      "question": "Will Vincent Michael Arias be the Republican nominee for FL-27?",
      "description": "Vincent Michael Arias",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Vincent Michael Arias: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate is designated the Republican Party nominee for the referenced seat, resolved by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Vincent Michael Arias wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-27 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
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        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 498.29040000000003,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CBN1P30882",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}