{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
  "slug": "kxfrenchpres-27",
  "question": "Who will win the next French presidential election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "french-politics",
    "presidential-election",
    "2027-election",
    "france",
    "political-leadership"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2027 French presidential election. Kalshi lists individual candidate contracts; each resolves YES or NO via Kalshi staff determination. Polymarket structures the same event as a single multi-outcome contract pricing the winner directly. Kalshi prices per-candidate probability; Polymarket prices the field outcome. Resolution follows the official second-round result, expected by May 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BMRCVZQ3H9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.37,
    "implied_probability": 0.37
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6YPM1TCTJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRENCHPRES-27-EPHI",
      "question": "Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Édouard Philippe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Édouard Philippe: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the 2027 French presidential election, based on official French government results, by May 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.5312,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C8BNF23Z74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRENCHPRES-27-EZEM",
      "question": "Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Éric Zemmour",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Éric Zemmour: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the 2027 French presidential election, based on official French government results, by May 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Éric Zemmour wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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          {
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            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.019,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMRCVZQ3H9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRENCHPRES-27-MLEP",
      "question": "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Marine Le Pen",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Marine Le Pen: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the 2027 French presidential election, based on official French government results, by May 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Marine Le Pen wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://www.semafor.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com/",
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          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.37,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z65G2J9FB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR",
      "question": "Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jordan Bardella: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the 2027 French presidential election, based on official French government results, by May 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jordan Bardella wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
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            "name": "MSNBC",
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            "name": "ABC",
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            "name": "The Information",
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            "name": "CBS",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "name": "Reuters",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L70TJ8S941",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRENCHPRES-27-MBAR",
      "question": "Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Michel Barnier: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the 2027 French presidential election, based on official French government results, by May 31, 2027.",
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      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Michel Barnier wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fox News",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "Politico",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C2F8Y45GM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-F4DV339FW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRENCHPRES-27-XBER",
      "question": "Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Xavier Bertrand",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Xavier Bertrand: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named candidate wins the 2027 French presidential election, based on official French government results, by May 31, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2028-05-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Bertrand wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fox News",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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          {
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