{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RWFTRVR25",
  "slug": "kxfrontier-fron",
  "question": "Will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem by 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
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  "tags": [
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    "capability-milestone",
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    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether any AI system will solve at least one open problem from the Frontier Math benchmark before three sequential deadlines. Kalshi structures the event as tiered time horizons: before July 2026, before October 2026, and before 2027. All three resolve via Kalshi staff determination. The tiered structure prices implied probability across the timeline, with each later strike subsuming the earlier ones.",
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems?",
      "description": "Before July",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before July: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXFRONTIER-FRON-26OCT01",
      "question": "When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems?",
      "description": "Before October",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before October: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JG9M059PY2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3RWFTRVR25",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRONTIER-FRON-27JAN01",
      "question": "When will any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before 2027: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-02-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAt the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3RWFTRVR25",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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