{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-T5LBF3S996",
  "slug": "kxfrpresballot-27jun30",
  "question": "Will the 2027 French Presidential Election be held?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-french-election",
    "candidate-eligibility",
    "france-politics",
    "ballot-access",
    "electoral-mechanism"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which named politicians will appear on France's official first-round candidate list for the 2027 presidential election. Each Kalshi contract isolates a single candidate, resolved by Kalshi staff against the list published by France's electoral authority. All 22 markets share the same structure: binary outcome, single candidate, same June 2027 deadline. The authoritative source is France's constitutional electoral body, not any party declaration or polling body.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-027S0RGK29",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.39,
    "implied_probability": 0.39
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H8KQFS57B1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T5LBF3S996",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JMEL",
      "question": "Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon: The official French presidential election candidate list published by France's electoral authority by June 30, 2027 determines whether the named candidate appears on the first-round ballot.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NBC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election official",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official state election websites",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "france",
        "jean luc lenchon",
        "politics",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JGWNP5BXL9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T5LBF3S996",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-MLEP",
      "question": "Will Marine Le Pen appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Marine Le Pen",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Marine Le Pen: The official French presidential election candidate list published by France's electoral authority by June 30, 2027 determines whether the named candidate appears on the first-round ballot.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Marine Le Pen is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NBC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election official",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official state election websites",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 35.26,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "france",
        "marine le pen",
        "politics",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RSNBMMV1F5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T5LBF3S996",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-EPHI",
      "question": "Will Édouard Philippe appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Édouard Philippe",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Édouard Philippe: The official French presidential election candidate list published by France's electoral authority by June 30, 2027 determines whether the named candidate appears on the first-round ballot.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Édouard Philippe is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NBC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election official",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official state election websites",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 468.94,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "douard philippe",
        "france",
        "politics",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TMRF420YY4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T5LBF3S996",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-NART",
      "question": "Will Nathalie Arthaud appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Nathalie Arthaud",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Nathalie Arthaud: The official French presidential election candidate list published by France's electoral authority by June 30, 2027 determines whether the named candidate appears on the first-round ballot.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Nathalie Arthaud is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NBC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election official",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official state election websites",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Semafor",
            "url": "https://semafor.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 26,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "france",
        "nathalie arthaud",
        "politics",
        "presidential"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DQGQXW00Z5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-T5LBF3S996",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JBAR",
      "question": "Will Jordan Bardella appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "Jordan Bardella",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jordan Bardella: The official French presidential election candidate list published by France's electoral authority by June 30, 2027 determines whether the named candidate appears on the first-round ballot.",
      "close_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-30T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jordan Bardella is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NBC",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Information",
            "url": "https://www.theinformation.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state Secretary of State or chief election official",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "official state election websites",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "relevant state board of elections",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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