{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
  "slug": "kxgdp-26jul30",
  "question": "Real GDP quarterly growth, Q2 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      2,
      2.5
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0,
        "prob": 96
      },
      {
        "threshold": 0.5,
        "prob": 96
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 85
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.5,
        "prob": 82
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 76
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.5,
        "prob": 47
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 33
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.5,
        "prob": 22
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 8
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "us-gdp",
    "economic-growth",
    "quarterly-metric",
    "2026",
    "macroeconomics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Bureau of Economic Analysis real GDP growth for Q2 2026. Kalshi structures the event as nine binary strike thresholds, from 0.0% to 4.0%, letting traders express a full implied distribution of outcomes. Differencing adjacent contract prices yields a market-implied probability density across the growth range. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the BEA's preliminary or final Q2 2026 estimate, due by late October 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JK9GCPC4T8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.44,
    "implied_probability": 0.44
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T3TRY6TK03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T0.0",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.0%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2435.2313999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-00209DFFA8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MM1XSXW129",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T0.5",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 0.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 0.5%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 3465.7524000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-07CA66A9AE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5RH2S2SCB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.0",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1.0%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 83.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 19830.6884,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-9E2034696B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-72GJQZD249",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.5",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 1.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 1.5%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "volume_24h_usd": 184.2588,
      "volume_total_usd": 20000.1879,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-B6D51B7355",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RSGR9V91J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.0",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.0%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.968000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 14673.1936,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-4094F13EE8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JK9GCPC4T8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.5",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.5%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 59.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 21128.2764,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3E02990F1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DL1H6FVKM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T3.0",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.0%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 293.30639999999994,
      "volume_total_usd": 2789.352,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-3E22945726",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B4S8KBWYB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T3.5",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 3.5%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 3.5%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 679.4760000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-4AE73BDB34",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-39DS8BFGN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDP-26JUL30-T4.0",
      "question": "Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.0%",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.0%: The Bureau of Economic Analysis' preliminary or final estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2026, released by the specified deadline, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T12:29:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-29T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
            "url": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Economic Analysis",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 190.70720000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-0019559125",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2",
        "threshold",
        "us",
        "us real gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TTR8WH64R6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}