{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
  "slug": "kxgdpnom-fra26",
  "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "france-economy",
    "nominal-gdp",
    "macroeconomic-indicator",
    "2027-resolution",
    "eurozone-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track France's 2026 nominal GDP against sequential USD strike thresholds. Kalshi prices 14 binary levels from $3.2 trillion to $4.5 trillion, each resolving independently via Kalshi staff determination. INSEE, France's national statistics authority, publishes the authoritative figure due by April 1, 2027. EUR/USD translation variance is a material resolution caveat, as nominal GDP is reported in euros.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KSKBM5CQ83",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.83,
    "implied_probability": 0.83
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M41Y42B661",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.2",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.2 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.2 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 271.7,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-F4AEDF341F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2QRMHWZDY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.3",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.3 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.3 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.3 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 437.61,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-86AEE58C9C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KSKBM5CQ83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.4",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.4 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.4 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4479.5266,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-C639B7BFDC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FNYY2LSQ74",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.5",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.5 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.5 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.5 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.64,
      "implied_probability": 0.64,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 30.080000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-9C5A7A56C9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R1T992GX56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.6",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.6 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.6 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 24.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-586E0E48FA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z4PY8K45V4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.7",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.7 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.7 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.7 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.904800000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-3FAFBABEE3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N788MSG9K6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.8",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.8 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.8 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.75,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.8,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9B4E8BFF2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "economic-growth",
        "france",
        "france nominal gdp",
        "gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-55NYJTGCR8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FRYGRSJLQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-FRA26-3.9",
      "question": "France Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.9 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.9 trillion: INSEE publishes the named country's nominal GDP for 2026, due by April 1, 2027; Kalshi staff determination resolves whether it exceeds the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $3.9 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 50,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $4.1 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If France Nominal GDP is above $4.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 France Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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