{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
  "slug": "kxgdpnom-ger26",
  "question": "Will Germany's nominal GDP in 2026 exceed $5 trillion?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "germany-economy",
    "gdp-nominal",
    "macroeconomics",
    "2027-resolution",
    "eurozone-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Germany's nominal GDP for full-year 2026 in USD terms. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete binary strike thresholds, ranging from $4.7 trillion to $6.5 trillion in $200 billion increments. Each strike resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination using official statistics from Destatis, the German Federal Statistical Office. The EUR/USD exchange rate at time of measurement introduces basis risk between real economic output and USD-denominated resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZQV2DLNXQ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.88,
    "implied_probability": 0.88
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z0JYTRV5W1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-4.7",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.7 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.7 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $4.7 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 177.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-230F938E64",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1LL61GFKJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-4.9",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.9 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.9 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $4.9 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2001.1599999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-A6EE1A9E93",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZQV2DLNXQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.1",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.1 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.1 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $5.1 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3514.72,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-441DBEABCD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5ZWPRZJYW8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.3",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.3 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.3 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $5.3 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.88,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-41191F9E72",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DD0QH3T0L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.5",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.5 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.5 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $5.5 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.6,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-F4A48CDDB7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D5NHN01733",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.7",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.7 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.7 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $5.7 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
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          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.591800000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-AAB6DA1FB7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QCW3V41BB4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-5.9",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.9 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.9 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $5.9 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 29,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.9,
      "question_id": "CMX-6B84EBE814",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "economic",
        "gdp",
        "germany",
        "germany nominal gdp"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "economic_forecasts",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MZL85P30X2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M6NL1G8MM4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGDPNOM-GER26-6.1",
      "question": "Germany Nominal GDP in 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.1 trillion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.1 trillion: German nominal GDP for 2026 resolves via official statistics published by the German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) or OECD National Accounts by April 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Germany Nominal GDP is above $6.1 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Germany Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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