{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
  "slug": "kxgolddiry-26dec31h1700",
  "question": "Gold price, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      4300
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 4300,
        "prob": 48
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4400,
        "prob": 41
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4500,
        "prob": 28
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4600,
        "prob": 26
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4700,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4800,
        "prob": 22
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4900,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5000,
        "prob": 20
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5100,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5200,
        "prob": 17
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5300,
        "prob": 15
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5400,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5500,
        "prob": 10
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "gold-price",
    "commodities",
    "eoy-2026",
    "price-point",
    "financial-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the spot gold price at 5:00 PM EST on December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of binary strike thresholds, ranging from $4,300 to $5,500 per troy ounce. The spread of implied probabilities across strikes encodes a market-derived price distribution for year-end gold. Kalshi staff determination relies on Pyth gold price data at the specified timestamp.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FR7GTNJKC6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.44,
    "implied_probability": 0.44
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FR7GTNJKC6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4300",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,300 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,300 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.44,
      "implied_probability": 0.44,
      "volume_24h_usd": 201.4496,
      "volume_total_usd": 10491.597600000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4300,
      "question_id": "CMX-EC88C0F68C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B73VFKG6X4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4400",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4400 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,400 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4400 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 125.046,
      "volume_total_usd": 6692.6835,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4400,
      "question_id": "CMX-8F02208650",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RW874YL5S5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4500",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4500 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,500 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,500 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4500 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.334999999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 3014.1019999999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4500,
      "question_id": "CMX-1747E03AC2",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-CWSL7VWSG8",
          "price": null
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C2D2TCDPJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4600",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4600 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,600 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,600 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4600 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.26,
      "implied_probability": 0.26,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2124.6498,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4600,
      "question_id": "CMX-256E5177D7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8WFJ87M1P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4700",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4700 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,700 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,700 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4700 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 289.1844,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4700,
      "question_id": "CMX-58F612DBA6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-00H8LGGGT8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4800",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4800 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,800 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,800 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4800 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.1603,
      "volume_total_usd": 1140.6042,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4800,
      "question_id": "CMX-EEDEDF476E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNV7MRL958",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T4900",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 4900 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "4,900 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "4,900 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4900 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1735.7686,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4900,
      "question_id": "CMX-F810C7827F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RRP1RB8FH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T5000",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 5000 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "5,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5,000 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5000 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1033.038,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4CB5A4FAA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1J0VWWS8T4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T5100",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 5100 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "5,100 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5,100 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5100 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 709.9326,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5100,
      "question_id": "CMX-E8FEA13635",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JX4D89W5J5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T5200",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 5200 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "5,200 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5,200 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5200 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
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      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": 31.2239,
      "volume_total_usd": 782.6766,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5200,
      "question_id": "CMX-723681E3EF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2F31GBDBM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T5300",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 5300 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "5,300 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5,300 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 521.6745,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5300,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D0C7A1C3C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7M87H4728",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T5400",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 5400 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "5,400 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5,400 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5400 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 359.3052,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5400,
      "question_id": "CMX-A6CC097629",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8QVV60L387",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOLDDIRY-26DEC31H1700-T5500",
      "question": "Will the price of Gold be above 5500 on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST?",
      "description": "5,500 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "5,500 or above: Kalshi staff determination based on Pyth gold price data at the specified December 2026 timestamp resolves whether the referenced commodity price meets or exceeds the threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T22:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T01:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5500 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nOutcome verified from Pyth - Gold.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Pyth - Gold",
            "url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Pyth - Gold",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 88,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1416.575,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5500,
      "question_id": "CMX-BFD82BA440",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "commodity",
        "gold",
        "precious metal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GRZ7VTWYZ1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}