{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-02V3115SG6",
  "slug": "kxgopsenateprimarycombo-26nov03",
  "question": "Will a specific combination of outcomes occur in the 2026 Republican Senate primaries?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-senate-primaries",
    "republican-politics",
    "multi-candidate-combo",
    "us-elections",
    "primary-outcomes"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether at least five of six named Republican candidates win their respective 2026 Senate primaries. The combo structure requires a supermajority threshold across six individual primary outcomes. Resolution is determined by Kalshi staff determination of whether each named candidate prevailed. No cross-platform insight applies; only one market exists under this event.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8M15QNL2N5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.87,
    "implied_probability": 0.87
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8M15QNL2N5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-02V3115SG6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOPSENATEPRIMARYCOMBO-26NOV03",
      "question": "Will at least 5 of the following 6 Republican candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: Ken Paxton in Texas, Julia Letlow in Louisiana, Barry Moore in Alabama, Mike Collins in Georgia, Andy Barr in Kentucky, and Michele Tafoya in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether each of the six named Republican candidates won their respective 2026 Senate primary elections.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If at least 5 of the following 6 Republican candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: Ken Paxton in Texas, Julia Letlow in Louisiana, Barry Moore in Alabama, Mike Collins in Georgia, Andy Barr in Kentucky, and Michele Tafoya in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market does NOT require all specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. Instead, it requires a specified subset of outcomes to occur for a Yes resolution. If the specified condition is not met, the entire market resolves to No.\n\n\n This market uses SENATEPARTYNOM to determine primary winners and is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "The Source Agencies are",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "The Source Agencies are",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 94.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 28389.71,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "barr",
        "collins",
        "letlow",
        "moore",
        "paxton",
        "primaries",
        "republican",
        "republican senate primary",
        "senate",
        "tafoya"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-02V3115SG6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}