{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
  "slug": "kxgovaznomr-26",
  "question": "Will the Arizona Republican Party nominee for Governor be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "arizona-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "republican-nomination",
    "governor-race",
    "us-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Arizona Governor, resolving by November 3, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as ten parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate. All ten resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Republican Party's official nomination announcement. Only one contract can resolve yes; the rest expire worthless.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0P5HLT1B50",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.991,
    "implied_probability": 0.991
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJYRGLQWV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-CA",
      "question": "Will Christopher Ames be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Christopher Ames",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christopher Ames: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Christopher Ames wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.15,
      "volume_total_usd": 48.03706,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "christopher ames",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0P5HLT1B50",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-AB",
      "question": "Will Andy Biggs be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Andy Biggs",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Andy Biggs wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.991,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 456.851,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XW3BFDB676",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-CG",
      "question": "Will Christian Grey be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Christian Grey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christian Grey: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Christian Grey wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.006,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M6GT4CRFS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-SN",
      "question": "Will Scott Neely be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Scott Neely",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Scott Neely: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Scott Neely wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FRJVT24Y5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-GN",
      "question": "Will George Nicholson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "George Nicholson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "George Nicholson: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If George Nicholson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 33.9312,
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "arizona",
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        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V2N13B1FL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-JB",
      "question": "Will Jason Beck be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Jason Beck",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jason Beck: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jason Beck wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P4T6LFNDG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-TH",
      "question": "Will Tom Hatten be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Tom Hatten",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tom Hatten: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Hatten wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z9HNL4VF16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-KTR",
      "question": "Will Karrin Taylor Robson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Karrin Taylor Robson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Karrin Taylor Robson: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Karrin Taylor Robson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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      "last_price": 0.009,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0.594,
      "volume_total_usd": 126.40905,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D33BP85VN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-DSCH",
      "question": "Will Dave Schweikert be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Dave Schweikert",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dave Schweikert: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dave Schweikert wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 7.3034,
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "dave schweikert",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-39DHKJYLZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVAZNOMR-26-KY",
      "question": "Will Kimberly Yee be the Republican nominee for Governor in Arizona?",
      "description": "Kimberly Yee",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kimberly Yee: Republican Party official nomination announcement by November 3, 2026 determines which candidate receives the party's gubernatorial nomination for the named state.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kimberly Yee wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Arizona Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17.1819,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "governor",
        "kimberly yee",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VP95P5VFT1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}