{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
  "slug": "kxgovcaprimary-26",
  "question": "Will the top two vote-getters in the California Governor primary advance to the general election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-governor",
    "primary-election",
    "top-two-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidates advance through California's top-two primary for governor, closing November 3, 2026. All 15 contracts are Kalshi per-candidate outrights; each prices an individual's probability of finishing in the top two. The markets are structurally parallel, not differentiated by direction or magnitude. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using certified results from the California Secretary of State, expected by June 2, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SS6M6FGVY1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KB0CX5WYZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-EKOUN",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Eleni Kounalakis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eleni Kounalakis advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.43,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.18,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "california",
        "eleni kounalakis",
        "governor",
        "primary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SS6M6FGVY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-XBEC",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Xavier Becerra",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T01:02:04Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T01:02:04Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Xavier Becerra advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 192248.38,
      "volume_total_usd": 595460.24,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0WDW9BTLF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-TSTE",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Tom Steyer",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Steyer advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FQSJNCKG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-BYEE",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Betty Yee",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Betty Yee advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.38,
      "volume_total_usd": 45.37,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "2026",
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        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5CFYRBMHX3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-TTHU",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Tony Thurmond",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tony Thurmond advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "tags": [
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        "tony thurmond"
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        {
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QZT9J2SRV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-RCAR",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Rick Caruso",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Rick Caruso advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJFW08F4D7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-AVIL",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
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      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Antonio Villaraigosa advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "last_price": 0,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1D3M7K4JW6",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-KPOR",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Katie Porter",
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        "rules_raw": "If Katie Porter advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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      "last_price": 0,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LV3RCB1XR3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-CBIA",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Chad Bianco",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:07:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chad Bianco advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SB1NWX0NX8",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-SHIL",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
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      "underlying_reference": "California Secretary of State certifies the official results of the 2026 gubernatorial primary election.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-06-10T00:06:39Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hilton advances to the general election for California governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "california",
        "governor",
        "primary",
        "steve hilton"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-14GC87WJY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CVTTL0DF99",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARY-26-KHAR",
      "question": "Who will win California's top-two primary for governor?",
      "description": "Kamala Harris",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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