{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
  "slug": "kxgovflnomr-26",
  "question": "Will Ron DeSantis be the Florida Republican Governor nominee by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "florida-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "republican-nominee",
    "governor-race",
    "us-elections"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Florida Governor, resolving November 3, 2026. Each contract isolates a single candidate: Donalds, Collins, Simpson, Gaetz, Patronis, DeSantis, Casey, Fishback, Renner, or Burkett. The contracts are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves yes. Kalshi staff determination applies to all nine, referencing the Republican Party's official nominee announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8M3DCPJ0Y9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.981,
    "implied_probability": 0.981,
    "as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8M3DCPJ0Y9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-BD",
      "question": "Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Byron Donalds",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Byron Donalds: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Byron Donalds wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.981,
      "implied_probability": 0.981,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 425052.15336,
      "volume_total_usd": 4700405.76939,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "byron donalds",
        "florida",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8PJDPHHWS9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-JCOL",
      "question": "Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Jay Collins",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jay Collins: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jay Collins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3190.8855,
      "volume_total_usd": 25448.001099999998,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "permitted_category": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VC7SMV23J4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-WS",
      "question": "Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Wilton Simpson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wilton Simpson: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Wilton Simpson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.9254,
      "volume_total_usd": 102.66746,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
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        "wilton simpson"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0PPK5KLWD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-MG",
      "question": "Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Matt Gaetz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Matt Gaetz: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Matt Gaetz wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 125.5378,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
        "governor",
        "matt gaetz",
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        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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            "category_not_permitted"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMFX90LKV0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-JP",
      "question": "Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Jimmy Patronis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jimmy Patronis: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jimmy Patronis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.113700000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
        "governor",
        "jimmy patronis",
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        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZCKWJLPQ68",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-CDES",
      "question": "Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Casey DeSantis",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Casey DeSantis: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Casey DeSantis wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 24.291400000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 374.95055,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NXV636FH07",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-JFIS",
      "question": "Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "James Fishback",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "James Fishback: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If James Fishback wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.017,
      "implied_probability": 0.017,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 30210.65563,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
        "florida",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WSC5RWL6X9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-PREN",
      "question": "Will Paul Renner be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Paul Renner",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Paul Renner: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Paul Renner wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 56,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 370.62256,
      "volume_total_usd": 2154.74765,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YPP3JVR8F0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVFLNOMR-26-CBUR",
      "question": "Will Charles Burkett be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?",
      "description": "Charles Burkett",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Charles Burkett: The Republican Party's official nominee announcement for the named statewide office resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Charles Burkett wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "price_as_of": "2026-08-15T08:00:50.143Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.1954,
      "volume_total_usd": 528.30953,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8WBM80ZB13",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}