{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
  "slug": "kxgovmdnomr-26",
  "question": "Will the Republican nominee for Governor of Maryland be determined by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "maryland-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "governor-race",
    "republican-nominee",
    "us-gubernatorial"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican Party's official nominee designation for Maryland Governor, resolving by November 3, 2026. All nine markets are structured as binary candidate-specific questions on Kalshi. Each contract asks whether a named individual wins the nomination, covering Hershey, Bouchat, Hogan, Cox, Hale, Wedekind, Myrick, Brunner, and Ehrlich. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination of the Republican Party's official nominee designation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0PFMJ8TNM1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.86,
    "implied_probability": 0.86
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VM97SFN94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-SHER",
      "question": "Will Steve Hershey be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Steve Hershey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Hershey: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Hershey wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.024,
      "implied_probability": 0.024,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 108.19,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "governor",
        "maryland",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "steve hershey"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0QLNQ1JB21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-CBOU",
      "question": "Will Christopher Bouchat be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Christopher Bouchat",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christopher Bouchat: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Christopher Bouchat wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "christopher bouchat",
        "governor",
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        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT9ZR5KVQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-LHOG",
      "question": "Will Larry Hogan be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Larry Hogan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Larry Hogan: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Larry Hogan wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.42,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.29,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "governor",
        "larry hogan",
        "maryland",
        "nominee",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0PFMJ8TNM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-DCOX",
      "question": "Will Dan Cox be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Dan Cox",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Cox: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dan Cox wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "volume_24h_usd": 828.33,
      "volume_total_usd": 6405.6,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q7JQC18DD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-EHAL",
      "question": "Will Ed Hale be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Ed Hale",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ed Hale: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ed Hale wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 1081.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-KWED",
      "question": "Will Kurt Wedekind be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Kurt Wedekind",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kurt Wedekind: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Kurt Wedekind wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-JMYR",
      "question": "Will John Myrick be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "John Myrick",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John Myrick: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If John Myrick wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-CBRU",
      "question": "Will Carl Brunner be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Carl Brunner",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Carl Brunner: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Carl Brunner wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.015,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMDNOMR-26-BEHR",
      "question": "Will Bob Ehrlich be the Republican nominee for Governor in Maryland?",
      "description": "Bob Ehrlich",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bob Ehrlich: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named candidate resolves by November 3, 2026, per Kalshi staff determination.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Bob Ehrlich wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Maryland Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.47,
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      "tags": [
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        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-W5Y03JR665",
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}