{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
  "slug": "kxgovminomd-26",
  "question": "Will Michigan have a Democratic governor nominee by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "michigan-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "governor-race",
    "2026-election",
    "us-nominations"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate wins the Michigan Democratic gubernatorial nomination ahead of the November 2026 general election. All nine contracts are structured as discrete candidate-level binaries on Kalshi, each resolving independently via Kalshi staff determination. Unlike a single multi-outcome contract, traders must price each candidate separately, creating implicit arbitrage across the full slate. Resolution closes November 3, 2026, aligned with Election Day certification timing.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9FR0GQZNV7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.951,
    "implied_probability": 0.951
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6YMQWFF0X7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-GG",
      "question": "Will Garlin Gilchrist be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Garlin Gilchrist",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Garlin Gilchrist: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Garlin Gilchrist wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 47,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "tags": [
        "democrat",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YMK8DVCB57",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-PB",
      "question": "Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Pete Buttigieg",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Pete Buttigieg: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Pete Buttigieg wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-JB",
      "question": "Will Jocelyn Benson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-07SB2MN394",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-MM",
      "question": "Will Mallory McMorrow be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Mallory McMorrow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mallory McMorrow: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Mallory McMorrow wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4J2NVWD9S0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-CS",
      "question": "Will Chris Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Chris Swanson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chris Swanson: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Chris Swanson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "last_price": 0.03,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-WB",
      "question": "Will Winnie Brinks be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Winnie Brinks: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLJNWMXZG5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-MH",
      "question": "Will Mark Hackel be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Mark Hackel",
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      "underlying_reference": "Mark Hackel: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Mark Hackel wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "last_price": 0.019,
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-33JJJZLD15",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-JT",
      "question": "Will Joe Tate be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Joe Tate",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joe Tate: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Joe Tate wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3QCC0YPT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMD-26-DK",
      "question": "Will Dan Kildee be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Dan Kildee",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Kildee: Kalshi staff determines whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic nominee for Governor in Michigan, resolving by November 3, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Dan Kildee wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FKLPJLD7R5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}