{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
  "slug": "kxgovminomr-26",
  "question": "Who will be the Michigan Republican Governor nominee by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "michigan-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "republican-nomination",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "us-politics"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Michigan Governor, resolving November 3, 2026. Kalshi lists fifteen named candidates as discrete binary contracts, each resolving independently via Kalshi staff determination. The structure prices individual candidate probability, not a ranked field or margin of victory. Resolution requires official Republican Party nominee designation confirmed by Kalshi staff.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8KGP28D7H4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.82,
    "implied_probability": 0.82
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T4H5MV0N82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-AN",
      "question": "Will Aric Nesbitt be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Aric Nesbitt",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Aric Nesbitt: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Aric Nesbitt wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.007,
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      "tags": [
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        "republican"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Y3KRF78G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-MC",
      "question": "Will Mike Cox be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Mike Cox",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Cox: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Mike Cox wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SSF5MS9XH1",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-TD",
      "question": "Will Tudor Dixon be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Tudor Dixon",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPPJ5JP6B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-JL",
      "question": "Will Jonathan Lindsey be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Jonathan Lindsey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jonathan Lindsey: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jonathan Lindsey wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N1SY4MMQH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-DD",
      "question": "Will Dick DeVos be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Dick DeVos",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dick DeVos: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Dick DeVos wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 1.004,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXZJ54S9X6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-PH",
      "question": "Will Pete Hoekstra be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Pete Hoekstra",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Pete Hoekstra wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8KGP28D7H4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-JJ",
      "question": "Will John James be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "John James",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "John James: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.82,
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      "tags": [
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        "michigan",
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        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T2WRFF6PJ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-PJ",
      "question": "Will Perry Johnson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Perry Johnson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Perry Johnson: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Perry Johnson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "score": 90,
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      "last_price": 0.2,
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J1CQ41KC70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-TL",
      "question": "Will Tom Leonard be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Tom Leonard",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tom Leonard: The Republican Party's official nominee designation for the named statewide office, as confirmed by Kalshi staff review of authoritative party records, resolves by November 3, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tom Leonard wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "grade": "A",
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
        "governor",
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        "tom leonard"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KJ2Y1STHQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-88B3W00208",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMINOMR-26-LM",
      "question": "Will Lisa McClain be the Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan?",
      "description": "Lisa McClain",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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