{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
  "slug": "kxgovmnnomd-26",
  "question": "Will Tim Walz be the Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "minnesota-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "democratic-nominee",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "us-primary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate wins the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial nomination. Each contract is a named-candidate binary, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026. The ten contracts are mutually exclusive; only one nominee can emerge from the primary. Probabilities across all contracts should sum to approximately one, making relative pricing a direct read on nomination odds.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q98LCZJ1D7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.987,
    "implied_probability": 0.987
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W9W85P9PL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-TWAL",
      "question": "Will Tim Walz be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Tim Walz",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tim Walz: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tim Walz wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 16,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2672.6034000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "tim walz"
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        {
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q98LCZJ1D7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-AKLO",
      "question": "Will Amy Klobuchar be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Amy Klobuchar",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Amy Klobuchar: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Amy Klobuchar wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.987,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 58.233,
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      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V21H7WDLQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-BGAT",
      "question": "Will Bill Gates Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Bill Gates Jr.",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bill Gates Jr.: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bill Gates Jr. wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.009,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BVT78736Y1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-KELL",
      "question": "Will Keith Ellison be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Keith Ellison",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Keith Ellison: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Keith Ellison wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
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        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 16,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 17.252,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "nominee"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X185GW3CL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-SSIM",
      "question": "Will Steve Simon be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Steve Simon",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Steve Simon: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Steve Simon wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_total_usd": 30.075,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FBB6XCD63",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-JFRE",
      "question": "Will Jacob Frey be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Jacob Frey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jacob Frey: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Jacob Frey wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_total_usd": 10.631,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VGJVZM31M4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-MCAR",
      "question": "Will Melvin Carter be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Melvin Carter",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Melvin Carter: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Melvin Carter wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 16,
        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "nominee"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W8CV8FTZ64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-BJCH",
      "question": "Will Bobby Joe Champion be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Bobby Joe Champion",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bobby Joe Champion: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Bobby Joe Champion wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 16,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0WX9FWH4Y2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVMNNOMD-26-EMUR",
      "question": "Will Erin Murphy be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?",
      "description": "Erin Murphy",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Erin Murphy: Kalshi staff determination by August 18, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET whether the named candidate becomes the Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-11T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Erin Murphy wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 16,
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-DS4Y103CJ0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}