{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
  "slug": "kxgovvtnomd-26",
  "question": "Will a Democrat be nominated as Vermont's gubernatorial nominee by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "vermont-politics",
    "democratic-primary",
    "gubernatorial-nomination",
    "2027-election",
    "nominee-selection"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track which candidate wins the Vermont Democratic gubernatorial nomination. Kalshi lists nine individual binary contracts, one per named candidate. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination against official Vermont Democratic Party records by November 3, 2026. The contracts are mutually exclusive; exactly one candidate can resolve YES.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PYPNW0NX84",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.74,
    "implied_probability": 0.74
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y35V8FMP60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-ECHA",
      "question": "Will Esther Charlestin be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Esther Charlestin",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Esther Charlestin: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Esther Charlestin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.87,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "esther charlestin",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7Q0Z6HXCS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-MPIE",
      "question": "Will Mike Pieciak be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Mike Pieciak",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mike Pieciak: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Mike Pieciak wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.029,
      "implied_probability": 0.029,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 205.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "mike pieciak",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-159ZV1WTP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-CCLA",
      "question": "Will Charity Clark be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Charity Clark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Charity Clark: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Charity Clark wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.63,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "charity clark",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TWSXR6V4N3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-DZUC",
      "question": "Will David Zuckerman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "David Zuckerman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Zuckerman: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Zuckerman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "david zuckerman",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKDW1SK4X0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-BBAL",
      "question": "Will Becca Balint be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Becca Balint",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Becca Balint: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Becca Balint wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.41,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "becca balint",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K3X7VN8PX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-PBAR",
      "question": "Will Phil Baruth be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Phil Baruth",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Phil Baruth: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Phil Baruth wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.54,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "phil baruth",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X0D1RNNQ51",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-JKRO",
      "question": "Will Jill Krowinski be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Jill Krowinski",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jill Krowinski: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jill Krowinski wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
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          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.48,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "jill krowinski",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2W3TGH82C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-AJAN",
      "question": "Will Amanda Janoo be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Amanda Janoo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Amanda Janoo: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Amanda Janoo wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 17,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 2137.62,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "amanda janoo",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PYPNW0NX84",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2H8QRR5KB5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVVTNOMD-26-ARIC",
      "question": "Will Aly Richards be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Vermont?",
      "description": "Aly Richards",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Aly Richards: The Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor in Vermont, as confirmed by party records by November 3, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Aly Richards wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "volume_24h_usd": 656.12,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "vermont"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
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}