{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
  "slug": "kxgovwinomd-26",
  "question": "Will a Wisconsin Democratic Governor be nominated by the 2026 election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "wisconsin-governor",
    "democratic-nominee",
    "us-politics",
    "2026-election",
    "primary-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Wisconsin Democratic Party's nominee for Governor, resolving by August 31, 2026. Kalshi lists eleven candidate-specific binary contracts, each pricing one contender's nomination probability independently. Probabilities across all contracts must sum to roughly 100%. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against the official Wisconsin Democratic Party primary result.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q1HRPF44X1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.73,
    "implied_probability": 0.73
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FFPB38VKR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-TEVE",
      "question": "Will Tony Evers be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Tony Evers",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tony Evers: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Tony Evers wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 398.59000000000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "tony evers",
        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1P2PZQFMY8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-JKAU",
      "question": "Will Josh Kaul be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Josh Kaul",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Josh Kaul: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Josh Kaul wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 80.9798,
      "volume_total_usd": 177.8264,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H25ZS4HZ94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-MBAR",
      "question": "Will Mandela Barnes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Mandela Barnes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Mandela Barnes: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Mandela Barnes wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.055,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 3248.54255,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q1HRPF44X1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-FHON",
      "question": "Will Francesca Hong be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Francesca Hong",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Francesca Hong: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Francesca Hong wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21107.0448,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "governor",
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        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NTCQN62WX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-MHUG",
      "question": "Will Missy Hughes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Missy Hughes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Missy Hughes: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Missy Hughes wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.782,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "nominee",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QK15VKYHL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-BHUL",
      "question": "Will Brett Hulsey be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Brett Hulsey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brett Hulsey: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "brett hulsey",
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        "wisconsin"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L6ZXKP3889",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-KROY",
      "question": "Will Kelda Roys be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Kelda Roys",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kelda Roys: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Kelda Roys wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
          "adversarial_ground_truth",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.63788,
      "volume_total_usd": 516.99492,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "kelda roys",
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        "wisconsin"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2GGHQM3649",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-SROD",
      "question": "Will Sara Rodriguez be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "Sara Rodriguez",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Sara Rodriguez: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Sara Rodriguez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.004,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 8.52776,
      "volume_total_usd": 1444.79,
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      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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        "sara rodriguez",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LLLNTGQCY5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GTB8QZVGM8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWINOMD-26-DCRO",
      "question": "Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?",
      "description": "David Crowley",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "David Crowley: The Wisconsin Democratic Party's official nominee for Governor, determined by August 31, 2026, resolves this market via Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If David Crowley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 54,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.26,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 13305.5936,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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