{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
  "slug": "kxgovwynomr-26",
  "question": "Will a Wyoming Republican governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election cycle?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
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    "wyoming-politics",
    "republican-nominee",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "2026-election",
    "primary-outcome"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary outcome for Wyoming Governor, resolving by August 31, 2026. Each contract is a binary on a named candidate: Bien, Hageman, Gray, Degenfelder, or Barlow. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Republican Party official records. The suite prices individual nomination probability, not head-to-head margin.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HT8DZR9ZK9",
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    "implied_probability": 0.15,
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  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LV5X2VWY01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-BBIE",
      "question": "Will Brent Bien be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Brent Bien",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brent Bien: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brent Bien wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "name": "Republican Party",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.018,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P3RBD51Z94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-HHAG",
      "question": "Will Harriet Hageman be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Harriet Hageman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Harriet Hageman: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Harriet Hageman wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HS5GMWCH66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-CGRA",
      "question": "Will Chuck Gray be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Chuck Gray",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chuck Gray: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Chuck Gray wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "last_price": 0.008,
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HT8DZR9ZK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-MDEG",
      "question": "Will Megan Degenfelder be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Megan Degenfelder",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Megan Degenfelder: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Megan Degenfelder wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-EBAR",
      "question": "Will Eric Barlow be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Eric Barlow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Barlow: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eric Barlow wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}