{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
  "slug": "kxgovwynomr-26",
  "question": "Will a Wyoming Republican governor nominee be determined by the 2026 election cycle?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "wyoming-politics",
    "republican-nominee",
    "gubernatorial-race",
    "2026-election",
    "primary-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary outcome for Wyoming Governor, resolving by August 31, 2026. Each contract is a binary on a named candidate: Bien, Hageman, Gray, Degenfelder, or Barlow. All five resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Republican Party official records. The suite prices individual nomination probability, not head-to-head margin.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HT8DZR9ZK9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.72,
    "implied_probability": 0.72
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LV5X2VWY01",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-BBIE",
      "question": "Will Brent Bien be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Brent Bien",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Brent Bien: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Brent Bien wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.2226,
      "volume_total_usd": 149.9114,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "governor",
        "nominee",
        "republican",
        "wyoming"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P3RBD51Z94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-HHAG",
      "question": "Will Harriet Hageman be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Harriet Hageman",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Harriet Hageman: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Harriet Hageman wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Republican Party",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.711,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HS5GMWCH66",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-CGRA",
      "question": "Will Chuck Gray be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Chuck Gray",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chuck Gray: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Chuck Gray wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.022,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23.694,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HT8DZR9ZK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-MDEG",
      "question": "Will Megan Degenfelder be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Megan Degenfelder",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Megan Degenfelder: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Megan Degenfelder wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FYXRDMZYL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGOVWYNOMR-26-EBAR",
      "question": "Will Eric Barlow be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wyoming?",
      "description": "Eric Barlow",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eric Barlow: Kalshi staff determination based on Republican Party official records resolves whether the named candidate becomes the listed party's gubernatorial nominee by August 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-31T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Eric Barlow wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wyoming Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SBQ8NYFV24",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}