{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-H4Y857YFP1",
  "slug": "kxgraba-28janmtu",
  "question": "Grab Holdings monthly transactions, 2026",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      57000000,
      57500000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 55000000,
        "prob": 77
      },
      {
        "threshold": 55500000,
        "prob": 77
      },
      {
        "threshold": 56000000,
        "prob": 59
      },
      {
        "threshold": 56500000,
        "prob": 53
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      {
        "threshold": 57000000,
        "prob": 51
      },
      {
        "threshold": 57500000,
        "prob": 38
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      {
        "threshold": 58000000,
        "prob": 29
      },
      {
        "threshold": 58500000,
        "prob": 24
      },
      {
        "threshold": 59000000,
        "prob": 13
      },
      {
        "threshold": 59500000,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60000000,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60500000,
        "prob": 11
      },
      {
        "threshold": 61000000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 61500000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 62000000,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "grab",
    "monthly-transacting-users",
    "southeast-asia",
    "rideshare-delivery",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Grab Holdings Limited's monthly transacting users figure for full-year 2026. Kalshi structures all fifteen contracts as discrete strike thresholds, ranging from 55 million to 62 million in 500,000 increments. Together they form an implied probability distribution over Grab's reported user count. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using Grab's regulatory disclosures, expected by March 2028.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-H0XYJ2N6R9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.38,
    "implied_probability": 0.38
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y15DDJ7631",
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      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "last_price": 0.77,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 74.34,
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGRABA-28JANMTU-55500000.0",
      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 55.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
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      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Grab Holdings Limited reports Above 55500000.0 monthly transacting users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 56 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
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      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 133.13,
      "volume_total_usd": 302.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B1CBFDDAFF",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PF11YKND37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H4Y857YFP1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGRABA-28JANMTU-56500000.0",
      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 56.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 56.5 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 784.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 56500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-EFFE9B3D51",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N95GF50WM2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H4Y857YFP1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGRABA-28JANMTU-57000000.0",
      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 57 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 57 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 57 million: Grab Holdings Limited's reported monthly transacting users figure for 2026, as disclosed in regulatory filings or official company reports and verified by Kalshi staff determination by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Grab Holdings Limited reports Above 57000000.0 monthly transacting users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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      "last_price": 0.51,
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      "question_id": "CMX-62FFF4F41A",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H0XYJ2N6R9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H4Y857YFP1",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGRABA-28JANMTU-57500000.0",
      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 57.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 57.5 million: Grab Holdings Limited's reported monthly transacting users figure for 2026, as disclosed in regulatory filings or official company reports and verified by Kalshi staff determination by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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      "question_id": "CMX-6C873EBD78",
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    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H4Y857YFP1",
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      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 58 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
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      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 58.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
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        "grab monthly transacting",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-H4Y857YFP1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXGRABA-28JANMTU-59000000.0",
      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 59 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 59 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 59 million: Grab Holdings Limited's reported monthly transacting users figure for 2026, as disclosed in regulatory filings or official company reports and verified by Kalshi staff determination by March 31, 2028.",
      "close_at": "2028-03-31T05:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Grab Holdings Limited reports Above 59000000.0 monthly transacting users in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXGRABA-28JANMTU-59500000.0",
      "question": "Will Grab Holdings Limited report Above 59.5 million monthly transacting users in 2026?",
      "description": "Above 59.5 million",
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      "underlying_reference": "Above 59.5 million: Grab Holdings Limited's reported monthly transacting users figure for 2026, as disclosed in regulatory filings or official company reports and verified by Kalshi staff determination by March 31, 2028.",
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