{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
  "slug": "kxh200max-26dec31",
  "question": "NVIDIA H200 compute price per hour, December 31, 2026",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      6.39,
      6.69
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.99,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.29,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.59,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.89,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.19,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.49,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.79,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.09,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.39,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.69,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.29,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.59,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.89,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.19,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.49,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.79,
        "prob": 78
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.09,
        "prob": 64
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.39,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.69,
        "prob": 37
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nvidia-hardware",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "cloud-compute",
    "2026",
    "technology-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the spot hourly price of NVIDIA H200 GPU compute as of December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of 20 binary strike thresholds, from $0.99 to $6.69 per hour, each resolved independently. The implied price distribution can be read from the probability curve across strikes. Kalshi staff determination references the authoritative published price of the specified compute product at resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-53BDSY5Y96",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.68,
    "implied_probability": 0.68,
    "as_of": "2026-09-11T10:02:26.125Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JY3MMR20W8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-0.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $0.99 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.99: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:45:34Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $0.99 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 439.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.99,
      "question_id": "CMX-230196B009",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DKFCJY4046",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-1.290",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.29 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.29",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.29: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:45:55Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.29 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1507.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.29,
      "question_id": "CMX-D239D6450D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NWWHDFJHW2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-1.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.59 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.59: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:10Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.59 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2741.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-45A94EA55E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZMVH6J49V1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-1.890",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.89 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.89",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.89: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.89 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1860.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.89,
      "question_id": "CMX-CF46B7B6C6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GXK5GR8VH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-2.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.19 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.19: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:44Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.19 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1411.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-05042BCEE6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G9ZF5TP5S6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-2.490",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.49 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.49: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.49 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2607.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-427F86430E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HBG1RND6S5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-2.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.79 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.79: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:12Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.79 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 663.49,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-770E0C0722",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F9HWYT7PX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.090",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.09 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.09",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.09: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:24Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.09 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2722.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.09,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9EBF21FC4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SYJB5PXY57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.390",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.39 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.39: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:38Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.39 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 584.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.39,
      "question_id": "CMX-BDB09A6B6A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RS39XWTBD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.690",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.69 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.69",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.69: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:53Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.69 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1681.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.69,
      "question_id": "CMX-EA83281491",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXNVWJPZK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.99 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.99: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.99 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2260.43,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-478A5D6C9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HFLFLMCHJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-4.290",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.29 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $4.29",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.29: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:23Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.29 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1763.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.29,
      "question_id": "CMX-411313143D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ86T1SNY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-4.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.59 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $4.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.59: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.59 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1977.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-51508C3D67",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X43P974RB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-4.890",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.89 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $4.89",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.89: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:47Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.89 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1972.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.89,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9A0557C39",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0GNVLH8N90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-5.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.19 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $5.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.19: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-27T21:16:54Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.19 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6795.42,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-E5D2BFE011",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5CBSLP7KQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-5.490",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.49 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $5.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.49: Kalshi staff determination of the referenced compute product's hourly price as published on the authoritative pricing dashboard by January 8, 2027 resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.49 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-14T20:01:04.604Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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