{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
  "slug": "kxh200max-26dec31",
  "question": "The H200 compute per hour price by Dec 31",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      6.09,
      6.39
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 0.99,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.29,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.59,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.89,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.19,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.49,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.79,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.09,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.39,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.69,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.29,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.59,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 4.89,
        "prob": 98
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.19,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.49,
        "prob": 72
      },
      {
        "threshold": 5.79,
        "prob": 74
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.09,
        "prob": 50
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.39,
        "prob": 41
      },
      {
        "threshold": 6.69,
        "prob": 28
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nvidia-hardware",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "cloud-compute",
    "2026",
    "technology-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the spot compute-per-hour price of NVIDIA H200 GPUs as of December 31, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as 20 sequential strike thresholds, from $0.99 to $6.69, each pricing the probability the rate level clears that strike. The implied market distribution can be read from the probability step-downs across strikes. Kalshi staff determination uses a published price on the specified date as the authoritative source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V2X33B2VB0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.42,
    "implied_probability": 0.42
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JY3MMR20W8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-0.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $0.99 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $0.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $0.99: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:45:34Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $0.99 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 439.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.99,
      "question_id": "CMX-230196B009",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DKFCJY4046",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-1.290",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.29 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.29",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.29: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:45:55Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.29 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1507.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.29,
      "question_id": "CMX-D239D6450D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NWWHDFJHW2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-1.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.59 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.59: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:10Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.59 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2741.25,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-45A94EA55E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZMVH6J49V1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-1.890",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.89 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $1.89",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.89: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:28Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.89 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1860.23,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.89,
      "question_id": "CMX-CF46B7B6C6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GXK5GR8VH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-2.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.19 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.19: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:44Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.19 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1411.74,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-05042BCEE6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G9ZF5TP5S6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-2.490",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.49 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.49: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:46:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.49 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2607.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-427F86430E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HBG1RND6S5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-2.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.79 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $2.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.79: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:12Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.79 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 663.49,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-770E0C0722",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F9HWYT7PX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.090",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.09 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.09",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.09: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:24Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.09 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2722.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.09,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9EBF21FC4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SYJB5PXY57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.390",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.39 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.39: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:38Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.39 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 584.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.39,
      "question_id": "CMX-BDB09A6B6A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RS39XWTBD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.690",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.69 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.69",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.69: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:47:53Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.69 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1681.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.69,
      "question_id": "CMX-EA83281491",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SXNVWJPZK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-3.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.99 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $3.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.99: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.99 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2260.43,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-478A5D6C9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HFLFLMCHJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-4.290",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.29 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $4.29",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.29: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:23Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.29 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1763.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.29,
      "question_id": "CMX-411313143D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QQ86T1SNY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-4.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.59 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $4.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.59: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:36Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.59 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1977.15,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-51508C3D67",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X43P974RB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-4.890",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.89 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $4.89",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.89: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T16:48:47Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.89 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1972.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.89,
      "question_id": "CMX-E9A0557C39",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0GNVLH8N90",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-5.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.19 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $5.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.19: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.19 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.87,
      "implied_probability": 0.87,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.3674,
      "volume_total_usd": 4217.9862,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-E5D2BFE011",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5CBSLP7KQ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-5.490",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.49 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $5.49",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.49: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.49 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 46.48,
      "volume_total_usd": 3668.4505999999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.49,
      "question_id": "CMX-C53184A6E8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GLPGVJR1W0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-5.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $5.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.79: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.79 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12.07,
      "volume_total_usd": 2863.4086999999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-8BDEA21CAC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F0B64P3WC5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MAX-26DEC31-6.090",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $6.09 by Dec 31?",
      "description": "Above $6.09",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.09: Kalshi staff determination of the listed hardware's compute-per-hour price as published on the specified dashboard by January 8, 2027, 04:59:59 UTC.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $6.09 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.48,
      "implied_probability": 0.48,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2231.736,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "also_on": null,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
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      "description": "Above $6.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $6.39 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
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        ],
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    },
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      "description": "Above $6.69",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T04:59:59Z",
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      "also_on": null,
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-MYTG9CGV52",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}