{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
  "slug": "kxh200ms-26nov",
  "question": "Will the NVIDIA H200 average hourly price in November reach a specified level?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-hardware",
    "compute-pricing",
    "november-2026",
    "gpu-market",
    "financial-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the monthly average hourly compute price of NVIDIA's H200 GPU in November 2026. Kalshi structures the event as eleven sequential strike thresholds, from $1.50 to $6.50 per hour, each resolved independently. Traders can read implied probability density across strikes to construct a full price distribution. Resolution rests on Kalshi staff determination of the November 2026 monthly average, with no secondary benchmark specified.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-9346VLPVX1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.88,
    "implied_probability": 0.88
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9346VLPVX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-1.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $1.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.50: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $1.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.88,
      "implied_probability": 0.88,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1318.24,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-4C4011A3A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HWS03V7S40",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-2.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.00: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1101.6000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-601A7836D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13BLJQL3S5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-2.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $2.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.50: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.69,
      "implied_probability": 0.69,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 865.2599999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-EC3B12DABD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-22QJKHC5Y9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-3.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.00: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.69,
      "implied_probability": 0.69,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 218.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-701F3CF3B5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HNMP0P8JG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-3.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.50: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.66,
      "implied_probability": 0.66,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 34.32,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-54AFFF84CF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J3CYWT1271",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-4.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.00: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $4 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1081.0800000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-2F2DC571B8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SR9F97GR02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-4.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $4.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.50: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-A6CF536B25",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M8RT8V2KF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-5.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-AC37BB745A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZL22F30Y9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-5.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $5.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.50: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 566.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-E471EE9014",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H286VG0FM3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-6.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.00 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 108.0618,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-6083557DEF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BXVNT33LB3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-26NOV-6.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in November 2026?",
      "description": "Above $6.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.50: Kalshi staff determination of the monthly average compute price for the listed GPU model in November 2026, sourced from Ornn dashboard data by December 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-01T04:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-08T04:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6.5 in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in November 2026, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.15,
      "implied_probability": 0.15,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 277.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-156AF2B0EA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 average",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YJRRBM41J1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}