{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
  "slug": "kxh200ms-27mar",
  "question": "Will the NVIDIA H200 have an average hourly price in March 2027?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "nvidia-h200",
    "compute-pricing",
    "hardware-costs",
    "march-2027",
    "financial-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the monthly average hourly compute price of the NVIDIA H200 GPU in March 2027. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of eleven binary strikes, ranging from $1.50 to $6.50 per hour in $0.50 increments. Together the strikes imply a market-derived probability distribution over the H200 spot rate level. Kalshi staff determination draws on Ornn's compute price dashboard as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-96ZZ8679C6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.84,
    "implied_probability": 0.84
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-96ZZ8679C6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-1.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $1.50 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $1.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.50: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $1.5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2671.2,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-6093BDD129",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6W51DY6HR4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-2.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.00 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $2.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.00: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.82,
      "implied_probability": 0.82,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 883.9599999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-4283F0C0D0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8PLDNDRT09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-2.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $2.50 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $2.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.50: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $2.5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.74,
      "implied_probability": 0.74,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 986.0648,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-1C5258DEB5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-46263JW4Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-3.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.00 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $3.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.00: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.61,
      "implied_probability": 0.61,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 520.8546,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-EB29451BDA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0QPX81Q1K0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-3.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $3.50 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $3.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.50: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $3.5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-690979DC4E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-104XB6HJP1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-4.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.00 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $4.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.00: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $4 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.59,
      "implied_probability": 0.59,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 89.08999999999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-5F62F3649E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MX1FL7DL73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-4.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $4.50 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $4.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.50: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $4.5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 61.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-7DAA26BF93",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT6LJLR859",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-5.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.00 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $5.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.00: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.45,
      "implied_probability": 0.45,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 102.60000000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-D152D8BD5E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XKXYW8ZWZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-5.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $5.50 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $5.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.50: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $5.5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
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      "volume_total_usd": 45.3546,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-8EE609E7F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
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        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJRKD2BR30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-6.000",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.00 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $6.00",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.00: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "volume_total_usd": 181.2075,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": "CMX-AD55A54997",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQ4J1ZZGW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200MS-27MAR-6.500",
      "question": "Will the monthly average compute price of NVIDIA's H200 be above $6.50 in March 2027?",
      "description": "Above $6.50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $6.50: Kalshi staff determination based on Ornn's compute price dashboard will resolve whether the listed company's named processor's monthly average compute price exceeded the specified threshold in March 2027, with deadline April 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour is above $6.5 in March 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the average value of NVIDIA H200 compute per hour in March 2027, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by Ornn.\n\nRevisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 59,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.12,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 826.3308,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-CDA1C0AF7A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "compute",
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-VWD2TJ8V79",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}