{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
  "slug": "kxh200q-26jun30",
  "question": "Will the price of NVIDIA H200 compute decrease by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "nvidia-h200",
    "gpu-pricing",
    "compute-costs",
    "2026",
    "hardware-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the spot hourly rental price of NVIDIA H200 GPU compute as of June 30, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as 20 discrete strike thresholds from $1.99 to $5.79 per hour, each a binary yes/no above a given level. Together the strikes form an implied probability distribution over the H200 hourly rate. Kalshi staff determination references the published pricing from the listed compute service, leaving the specific provider unspecified in the resolution source field.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LC9P34NZF9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.98,
    "implied_probability": 0.98
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W59LP6G1V7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-1.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $1.99 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $1.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $1.99: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $1.99 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 157.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.99,
      "question_id": "CMX-02E8A1C32E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2YVWGC03B2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-2.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.19 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $2.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.19: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.19 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 93.06,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-257C6BBE84",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6G33016XB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-2.390",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.39 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $2.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.39: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.39 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.95,
      "implied_probability": 0.95,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1965.04,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.39,
      "question_id": "CMX-DEB06185BD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LC9P34NZF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-2.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.59 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $2.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.59: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.59 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3828.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-F6306B48B5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W4HPGY3SK4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-2.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.79 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $2.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.79: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.79 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 652.8,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-1604EDBD56",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PMVRFNNMK8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-2.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.99 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $2.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $2.99: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.99 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 317.52,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-426C4D89AD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VZ8XG2WN94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-3.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.19 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $3.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.19: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.19 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 319.21,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-33EC730443",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TWJ0LBNWL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-3.390",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.39 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $3.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.39: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.39 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.69,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 600.05,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.39,
      "question_id": "CMX-5AAB49D2F8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2T12DTNK26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-3.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.59 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $3.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.59: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.59 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.59,
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      "volume_total_usd": 438.5,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-963E387DDA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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      ]
    },
    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-3.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.79 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $3.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.79: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.79 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.49,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 570.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 3.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-78CF9CF403",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "bucket": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-3.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $3.99 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $3.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $3.99: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $3.99 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 264.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": "CMX-B21B3B4BDB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CGP82LDY49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-4.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.19 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $4.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.19: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.19 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.51,
      "implied_probability": 0.51,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 167.18,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-F15142FBFD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
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        "nvidia h200 compute",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "reasons": [
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            "under_min_maturity"
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9LMK9V3KQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-4.390",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.39 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $4.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.39: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.39 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.29,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 42.92,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.39,
      "question_id": "CMX-347B4F87A3",
      "also_on": null,
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        "gpu",
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        "nvidia h200 compute",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B5PGZL7DL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-4.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.59 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $4.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.59: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.59 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.38,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 298.39,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": 4.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-E538796E2B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K279VRZ699",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-4.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.79 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $4.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.79: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.79 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.19,
      "implied_probability": 0.19,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 57.57,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-06E3D0A4E0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
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        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6ZPP5D1HQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-4.990",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $4.99 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $4.99",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $4.99: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $4.99 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 89.4,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": "CMX-C4DED13A00",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XWDFDFYCH0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-5.190",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.19 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $5.19",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.19: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.19 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.72,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.19,
      "question_id": "CMX-C1CE79897B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FYM2XJD5B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-5.390",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.39 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $5.39",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.39: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.39 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 201.84,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.39,
      "question_id": "CMX-9C8AD33BBF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-77Y53C6K49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-5.590",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.59 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $5.59",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.59: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.59 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 113.96,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.59,
      "question_id": "CMX-C48F4CFBAC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3L0PY26FT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXH200Q-26JUN30-5.790",
      "question": "Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $5.79 by Jun 30?",
      "description": "Above $5.79",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above $5.79: Kalshi staff determination of the listed compute service's hourly price as published by the referenced pricing source by July 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:59Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T03:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $5.79 by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of H200 compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The \"USD\" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Ornn",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Ornn",
            "url": "https://www.ornnai.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Ornn",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.62,
      "implied_probability": 0.62,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 590.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5.79,
      "question_id": "CMX-1CF2BB9946",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gpu",
        "h200",
        "nvidia",
        "nvidia h200 compute",
        "pricing"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-XQHHCRQHC2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}