{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7LDW5MPHC5",
  "slug": "kxhegsethout-26apr",
  "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-cabinet",
    "defense-secretary",
    "2026",
    "resignation-removal",
    "pete-hegseth"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Pete Hegseth departs as Secretary of Defense across four sequential deadline tiers: June 1, July 1, August 1, and September 1, 2026. Each later tier embeds the prior one; a departure before June 1 resolves all four affirmatively. The structural cross-platform insight here is absent: all four markets are Kalshi-only, pricing departure timing across discrete monthly thresholds rather than a single binary outcome. Resolution is via Kalshi staff determination against each named deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NSD03HJ820",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.083
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7LDW5MPHC5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-JUN01",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determines whether the named cabinet secretary departs from office before September 1, 2026, resolving by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news",
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            "name": "The Washington Post",
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            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
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            "name": "CNN",
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            "name": "the New York Times",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7LDW5MPHC5",
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      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Jul 1, 2026?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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          {
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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            "name": "the New York Times",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RLRFR8NTF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7LDW5MPHC5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-AUG01",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Aug 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determines whether the named cabinet secretary departs from office before September 1, 2026, resolving by September 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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            "name": "Bloomberg News",
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          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
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          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSD03HJ820",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7LDW5MPHC5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-SEP01",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Sep 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determines whether the named cabinet secretary departs from office before September 1, 2026, resolving by September 8, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DWYNMS5PS1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7LDW5MPHC5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHEGSETHOUT-26APR-MAY01",
      "question": "Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before May 1, 2026?",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before May 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determines whether the named cabinet secretary departs from office before September 1, 2026, resolving by September 8, 2026.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-05-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nPete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to \"No.\"\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.",
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