{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
  "slug": "kxhi01d-26",
  "question": "Will the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's 1st congressional district be determined by January 1, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "hawaii-elections",
    "democratic-primary",
    "congressional-nominee",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Democratic Party's nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district. Each contract isolates a single candidate: Ed Case, Della Au Belatti, Jarrett Keohokalole, or Maxwell Frazier. All four resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the party's official nominee confirmation. Resolution is set for January 2027, ahead of the August 2027 close date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N8R19GNGM8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.63,
    "implied_probability": 0.63,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N8R19GNGM8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHI01D-26-ECAS",
      "question": "Will Ed Case be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district?",
      "description": "Ed Case",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Ed Case: The Democratic Party's official nominee for the referenced Hawaii congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Ed Case wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Hawaii first congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 959.58,
      "volume_total_usd": 10321.67,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic-nominee",
        "ed case",
        "hawaii-cd1"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted",
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TTWQ89QTN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHI01D-26-DBEL",
      "question": "Will Della Au Belatti be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district?",
      "description": "Della Au Belatti",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Della Au Belatti: The Democratic Party's official nominee for the referenced Hawaii congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Della Au Belatti wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Hawaii first congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "della au belatti",
        "democratic-nominee",
        "hawaii-cd1"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JZ8B695Y03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHI01D-26-JKEO",
      "question": "Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district?",
      "description": "Jarrett Keohokalole",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jarrett Keohokalole: The Democratic Party's official nominee for the referenced Hawaii congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jarrett Keohokalole wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Hawaii first congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.4,
      "implied_probability": 0.4,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 21.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 3887.98,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic-nominee",
        "hawaii-cd1",
        "jarrett keohokalole"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QS4N0D3241",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHI01D-26-MFRA",
      "question": "Will Maxwell Frazier be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district?",
      "description": "Maxwell Frazier",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Maxwell Frazier: The Democratic Party's official nominee for the referenced Hawaii congressional seat, confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by January 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Maxwell Frazier wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Hawaii first congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Republican Party",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://gop.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Republican Party",
            "url": "https://gop.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Democratic Party",
            "url": "https://democrats.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 88,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.038,
      "implied_probability": 0.038,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 48.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic-nominee",
        "hawaii-cd1",
        "maxwell frazier"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HCC270BBT1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}