{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
  "slug": "kxhighaus-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Austin on August 4, 2026 reach 100°F or higher?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "austin-weather",
    "temperature-forecast",
    "daily-climate",
    "2026-august",
    "weather-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the National Weather Service daily high temperature reading for Austin on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six discrete temperature bands, from below 97°F to above 104°F. Traders allocate probability across mutually exclusive strikes rather than a single binary outcome. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination using the NWS Austin Climatological Report published by August 5, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CS234XTRZ0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.63,
    "implied_probability": 0.63
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6ZGSBD22K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26AUG04-T97",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <97° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "96° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "96° or below: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for August 4, 2026, published by August 5, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. UTC, determines the high temperature outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHAUS, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 97°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 21.23,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 97,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F9MXT7V254",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26AUG04-B97.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 97-98° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "97° to 98°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "97° to 98°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for August 4, 2026, published by August 5, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. UTC, determines the high temperature outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHAUS, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 97-98°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 240.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 247.64,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 98,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CS234XTRZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26AUG04-B99.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 99-100° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "99° to 100°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "99° to 100°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for August 4, 2026, published by August 5, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. UTC, determines the high temperature outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHAUS, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 99-100°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2914.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 3298.2,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8FCP06SDB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26AUG04-B101.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 101-102° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "101° to 102°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "101° to 102°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for August 4, 2026, published by August 5, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. UTC, determines the high temperature outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHAUS, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 101-102°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2348.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 2590.99,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 102,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJ639G5BL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26AUG04-B103.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 103-104° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "103° to 104°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "103° to 104°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for August 4, 2026, published by August 5, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. UTC, determines the high temperature outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHAUS, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 103-104°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 29.34,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 104,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1G67HM4657",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26AUG04-T104",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be >104° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "105° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "105° or above: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for August 4, 2026, published by August 5, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. UTC, determines the high temperature outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHAUS, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 104°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.06,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.73,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 104,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R43R54DF41",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}