{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
  "slug": "kxhighaus-26jul23",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Austin on July 23, 2026 exceed 95°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-forecast",
    "austin-texas",
    "temperature-high",
    "july-2026",
    "climate-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the National Weather Service daily high temperature reading for Austin on July 23, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six mutually exclusive discrete temperature tiers, spanning below 97°F to above 104°F. The tiers collectively form a full probability distribution over the expected temperature range. Resolution relies on the National Weather Service Climatological Report via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-95GN8KTJQ6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.93,
    "implied_probability": 0.93
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-212NC9KHL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL23-T97",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <97° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "96° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "96° or below: National Weather Service Climatological Report for the specified location resolves by staff determination using the issued high temperature on the resolution date.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 97°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 27.62,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 97,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CZYGFHPKL8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL23-B97.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 97-98° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "97° to 98°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "97° to 98°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for the specified location resolves by staff determination using the issued high temperature on the resolution date.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 97-98°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 459.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 463.12,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 98,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-95GN8KTJQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL23-B99.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 99-100° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "99° to 100°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "99° to 100°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for the specified location resolves by staff determination using the issued high temperature on the resolution date.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 99-100°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6736.25,
      "volume_total_usd": 7086.69,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SSV578W988",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL23-B101.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 101-102° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "101° to 102°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "101° to 102°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for the specified location resolves by staff determination using the issued high temperature on the resolution date.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 101-102°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 423.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 429.81,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 102,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NP0M04ZPP6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL23-B103.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 103-104° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "103° to 104°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "103° to 104°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for the specified location resolves by staff determination using the issued high temperature on the resolution date.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 103-104°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 52.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 56.13,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 104,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MBD93QCFL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUL23-T104",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be >104° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "105° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "105° or above: National Weather Service Climatological Report for the specified location resolves by staff determination using the issued high temperature on the resolution date.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 104°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10.05,
      "volume_total_usd": 13.9,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 104,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "texas",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3CNFZSD7C1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}