{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
  "slug": "kxhighaus-26jun12",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Austin on June 12, 2026 be at least 95°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "austin-weather",
    "temperature-prediction",
    "climate-data",
    "june-2026",
    "daily-high"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Kalshi markets collectively price the daily high temperature in Austin on June 12, 2026. The tiers span below 92°F to above 99°F, forming a mutually exclusive, exhaustive probability distribution across the temperature range. Kalshi staff determination resolves each binary against the National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report. No cross-platform comparison is available; all six markets share identical structure and source authority.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5R2VN84GJ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2YWLYPLQ73",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-T92",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be <92° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "91° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "91° or below: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for June 12, 2026, determines the high temperature, with resolution on June 13, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 92°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1642.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 1682.17,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 92,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5R2VN84GJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-B92.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 92-93° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "92° to 93°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "92° to 93°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for June 12, 2026, determines the high temperature, with resolution on June 13, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 92-93°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2475.64,
      "volume_total_usd": 2578.36,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 93,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-187BD6Z071",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-B94.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 94-95° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "94° to 95°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "94° to 95°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for June 12, 2026, determines the high temperature, with resolution on June 13, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 94-95°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 874.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 885.48,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 95,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y33530M8W7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-B96.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 96-97° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "96° to 97°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "96° to 97°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for June 12, 2026, determines the high temperature, with resolution on June 13, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 18.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.65,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 97,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3ZZV03SKT8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-B98.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be 98-99° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "98° to 99°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "98° to 99°: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for June 12, 2026, determines the high temperature, with resolution on June 13, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 98-99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.29,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.79,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 99,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMGK4Q9F08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHAUS-26JUN12-T99",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Austin** be >99° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "100° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "100° or above: National Weather Service Austin Climatological Report for June 12, 2026, determines the high temperature, with resolution on June 13, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T05:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 99°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Austin",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX&product=CLI&issuedby=AUS",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Austin Bergstrom",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.87,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.46,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 99,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin",
        "austin temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2YWLYPLQ73",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.399004Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5R2VN84GJ8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.399004Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-187BD6Z071",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.399004Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y33530M8W7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.399004Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3ZZV03SKT8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.399004Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMGK4Q9F08",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.399004Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7QDM2XQXF3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}